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WTA 125K. Varshava
WTA 125K. Varshava International

Samson L - Barthel M

Samson L meet Barthel M on August 3, 2026 in the WTA 125K. Varshava, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Samson L 3-1-1, Barthel M 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Samson L62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Samson L): model 64% · market 62% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Samson L ✓ Pick61.8%
market62%
2 · Barthel M38.2%
market38%

Model estimate: win Samson L 61.8%, win Barthel M 38.2%. Model favourite — Samson L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Samson L (odds1.53) Score 2:1 confidence 61%
  • Samson L: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • Bartel M: forma VPP (1-2)
  • Model backs Samson L: probability 61% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.53)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samson L - Barthel M August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samson L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 ✓ Pick 61.5%
2 38.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.53 ↓ 1.50
Pobeditel P2 2.35 ↑ 2.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis WTA 125K. Varshava
WTA 125K. Varshava 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Samson L
Samson L
W W L W L
Barthel M
Barthel M
L W W L W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.51 63.7% BetBoom
P2 2.65 36.3% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 61.5% @ 1.50 / 2 38.5% @ 2.40
Form 6 matches
Match center

Samson L - Barthel M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Samson L 61.5% 61.8% market and model agree
Barthel M 38.5% 38.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.8% / 38.2% probabilities
Rating 1,856 / 1,386 Samson L / Barthel M
RD 188 / 215 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,480-2,233 / 957-1,815 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 Fonbet · no value · model 38.2%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 61.8%
Total
Over 19.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.62 61.7%
1.68 59.5%
1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
2.15 46.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9%
2.15 46.5%
2.05 48.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 20.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
Over 21.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 19.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 20.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3%
Under 21.5 1.68 59.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
2.65 37.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.33 42.9%
Match center
Samson L
W W D W L
2026-08-01 2026 Targu Mures, Romania
Samson L Bronzetti L 0:2 Samson L
2026-07-31 2026 Targu Mures, Romania
Samson L Samson L 2:1 Ristic M
2026-07-30 2026 Targu Mures, Romania
Samson L Samson L 0:0 Sobolieva A
2026-07-28 2026 Targu Mures, Romania
Samson L Samson L 2:0 Breaz A
2026-07-21 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Samson L Samson L 1:2 Joint M
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Barthel M
L W W L W
2026-07-21 2026 Hamburg, Germany
Barthel M 0:2 Putintseva Y Barthel M
2026-07-20 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Vedder E 1:2 Barthel M Barthel M
2026-07-19 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Yashina E 1:2 Barthel M Barthel M
2026-07-15 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Erjavec V 2:0 Barthel M Barthel M
2026-07-14 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Barthel M 2:1 Koller A Barthel M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamson L - Barthel M

Samson L
0 matches total
Barthel M
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history