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WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification
WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification International
semi-final 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

Liutova K - Kalieva E

Tennis WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification
WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification 1/2 finala hard 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC Finished
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC 1/2 finala Finished
Liutova K
Liutova K Russia Seed 229
W W L W L
Kalieva E
Kalieva E USA Seed 132
W
2:0 7:5 6:1
1 2 GP
Liutova K 7 6 2
Kalieva E 5 1 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.62 59.1% BetBoom
P2 2.34 40.9% BetBoom
Stadium: Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1 Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Russia Country USA
- Rating -
16 Age 23
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
Q Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Liutova K
100% 3 / 3
100% 3 / 3
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
3 iz 3
Kalieva E
50% 4 / 8
50% 4 / 8
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 3
grass
no data
hard
4 iz 5

Head-to-head history

Memfis

Liutova K take on Kalieva E on August 1, 2026 in the WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Liutova K 3-1-1, Kalieva E 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 59% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Liutova K — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Liutova K): model 55% · market 70% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Liutova K ✓ Pick58.8%
market70%
2 · Kalieva E41.2%
market30%

Model estimate: win Liutova K 58.8%, win Kalieva E 41.2%. Model favourite — Liutova K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Liutova K (odds1.60) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Lyutova K: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Kalieva E: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.62→1.60 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Lyutova K: probability 59% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liutova K - Kalieva E August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liutova K.

Line favourite Fonbet: Liutova K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 2.34
  • Glicko: Liutova K 58.8% / Kalieva E 41.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 41.7%
1 ✓ Pick 69.9%
2 30.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.62 ↓ 1.60
Winner 2 2.30 → 2.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Liutova K

no data

Kalieva E
5-5LWWLWWLLWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 69.9% @ 1.01 / 2 30.1% @ 2.34
Stage 1/2 finala
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Liutova K - Kalieva E

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Kristina Lyutova - Elvina Kalieva, 01 avgusta 2026. Memfis. Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Kristina Lyutova - Elvina Kalieva, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Liutova K Kalieva E Result
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Set 2 6 1 6:1
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 58.8% fact: home hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.340 / LogLoss 0.531
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.1% fact: home hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.479 / LogLoss 0.672
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Liutova K 59.2% 58.8% market and model agree
Kalieva E 40.8% 41.2%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.8% / 41.2% probabilities
Rating 1,802 / 1,730 Liutova K / Kalieva E
RD 208 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,386-2,218 / 1,411-2,049 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.31 market consensus · no value · model 41.2%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 58.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.96 51.0% — —
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.82 55.0%
1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
1.79 55.9% — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.08 48.1%
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 3.20 31.3%
— — 5.10 19.6%
— — 11.00 9.1%
— — 11.00 9.1%
— — 3.20 31.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
Over 19.5 — — 3.20 31.3%
Over 20.5 1.77 56.5% 1.81 55.3% 11.00 9.1%
Over 21.5 1.97 50.8% 1.97 50.8% 11.00 9.1%
Over 22.5 — — 3.90 25.6%
Over 23.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 24.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Over 25.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 26.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 18.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
Under 20.5 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% —
Under 21.5 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.58 63.3%
2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 16.00 6.3% 2.34 42.7%
Match center
Liutova K
W W D W L
2026-07-31 2026 Memphis, USA
Liutova K Liutova K 2:0 McNally C
2026-07-30 2026 Memphis, USA
Liutova K Liutova K 2:1 Joint M
2026-07-28 2026 Memphis, USA
Liutova K Alexandrova E 1:1 Liutova K
2026-07-26 2026 Memphis, USA, Qualifying
Liutova K Liutova K 2:1 Kozyreva M
2024-11-15 2024 USA 52A, Women Singles
Liutova K Daavettila S 2:0 Liutova K
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Kalieva E
W W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Memphis, USA
Kalieva E 2:1 Stearns P Kalieva E
2026-07-29 2026 Memphis, USA
Sonmez Z 1:2 Kalieva E Kalieva E
2026-07-28 2026 Memphis, USA
Sebov K 0:2 Kalieva E Kalieva E
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Montgomery R 2:0 Kalieva E Kalieva E
2026-06-23 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
McDonald E 1:2 Kalieva E Kalieva E
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiutova K - Kalieva E

Liutova K
0 matches total
Kalieva E
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Memfis