Alexandrova E / Gibson T - Chan H-C / Joint M
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Alexandrova E / Gibson T — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Alexandrova E / Gibson T): model 52% · market 58% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Alexandrova E / Gibson T 57.9%, win Chan H-C / Joint M 42.1%. Model favourite — Alexandrova E / Gibson T.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Aleksandrova E./Gibson T
- • — Chan Khao-Chin/Dzhoynt M
- • (tennis)
- • Model backs Aleksandrova E./Gibson T.: probability 50% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
- • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Alexandrova E / Gibson T - Chan H-C / Joint M July 29, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.25
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
About the athletes
Alexandrova E / Gibson T - Chan H-C / Joint M
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 62.9% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.52 65.8% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.33 42.9% |
Full head-to-head historyAlexandrova E / Gibson T - Chan H-C / Joint M
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form