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WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification
WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification International
quarter-final 31.07.2026 17:59 UTC Match prediction

Kalieva E - Stearns P

Tennis WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification
WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification 1/4 finala hard 31.07.2026 17:59 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 17:59 UTC 1/4 finala Finished
Kalieva E
Kalieva E USA Seed 132
W W L W L
Stearns P
Stearns P USA Seed 58
W W L L W
2:1 6:1 2:6 6:3
1 2 3 GP
Kalieva E 6 2 6 2
Stearns P 1 6 3 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 3.90 25.0% BetBoom
P2 1.30 75.0% BetBoom
Stadium: Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1 Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country USA
- Rating -
23 Age 24 -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
132 Seed 58
hard Coverage hard
Posev 7 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Kalieva E
43% 3 / 7
43% 3 / 7
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 3
grass
no data
hard
3 iz 4
Stearns P
53% 20 / 38
53% 20 / 38
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 11
grass
0 iz 1
hard
14 iz 26

Head-to-head history

Memfis

Kalieva E face Stearns P on July 31, 2026 in the WTA. Memphis. Hard. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kalieva E 3-0-2, Stearns P 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 29% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Stearns P — 71%

Pure model vs market (2 · Stearns P): model 58% · market 7% Δ +51 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Kalieva E28.6%
market93%
2 · Stearns P ✓ Pick71.4%
market7%

Model estimate: win Kalieva E 28.6%, win Stearns P 71.4%. Model favourite — Stearns P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Stearns P (odds1.28) Score 0:2 confidence 71% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kalieva E: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • • Sterns P: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Sterns P: probability 71% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kalieva E - Stearns P July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kalieva E.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kalieva E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Kalieva E 28.6% / Stearns P 71.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 93.2%
2 ✓ Pick 6.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.45 ↑ 3.50
Winner 2 1.30 → 1.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kalieva E
5-5LWWLWWLLWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.3
Stearns P

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1
Start 31.07.2026 17:59 UTC
Market 1 93.2% @ 1.02 / 2 6.8% @ 14.00
Stage 1/4 finala
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Kalieva E - Stearns P

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Elvina Kalieva - Piton Stirns, 31 iyulya 2026. Memfis. Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Elvina Kalieva - Piton Stirns, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Kalieva E Stearns P Result
Set 0 6 1 6:1
Set 1 2 6 2:6
Set 2 6 3 6:3
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 71.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.020 / LogLoss 1.252
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.553 / LogLoss 0.746
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kalieva E 27.1% 28.6%
Stearns P 72.9% 71.4% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 28.6% / 71.4% probabilities
Rating 1,644 / 2,006 Kalieva E / Stearns P
RD 141 / 247 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,362-1,925 / 1,512-2,500 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 71.4%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 28.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.70 58.8%
— 2.10 47.6%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 1.95 51.3%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 2.15 46.5%
— 2.30 43.5%
— 3.20 31.3%
— 2.08 48.1%
— 2.20 45.5%
— 10.00 10.0%
— 7.00 14.3%
1.90 52.6% 1.57 63.7%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 18.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Over 19.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 20.5 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 — 1.92 52.1%
Over 22.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 23.5 — 1.57 63.7%
Over 24.5 — 7.00 14.3%
Over 25.5 — 9.00 11.1%
Over 26.5 — 2.80 35.7%
Under 17.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Under 18.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Under 19.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Under 20.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
Under 21.5 — 1.78 56.2%
Under 22.5 — 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.90 25.6% 1.02 98.0% 3.45 29.0%
1.25 80.0% 14.00 7.1% 1.30 76.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-07-31 · Elvina Kalieva 2:1 Peyton Stirns
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.9 (Betcity) · 2 1.29 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.75 1.27
Winline 3.28 1.29
Fonbet 3.75 1.27
Betcity 3.9 1.25
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

8 Eysy 2
2 Dvoynye oshibki 3
9 Vsego breyk-poyntov 8
5 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
93 Vyigrannye Points 77
53 Points na podache 43
34 Poteryannye Points na podache 40
52 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 44
33 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 37
36 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 22
17 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 21
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
9 Geymy na podache 7
14 Vyigrannye geymy 10
4 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Kalieva E
W W L W L
2026-07-29 2026 Memphis, USA
Kalieva E Sonmez Z 1:2 Kalieva E
2026-07-28 2026 Memphis, USA
Kalieva E Sebov K 0:2 Kalieva E
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Kalieva E Montgomery R 2:0 Kalieva E
2026-06-23 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Kalieva E McDonald E 1:2 Kalieva E
2026-06-09 2026 Ilkley, Great Britain
Kalieva E Kalieva E 0:2 Krueger A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Stearns P
W W L L W
2026-07-30 2026 Memphis, USA
Prozorova T 0:2 Stearns P Stearns P
2026-07-28 2026 Memphis, USA
Stoiana M 1:2 Stearns P Stearns P
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Stearns P 1:2 Bartunkova N Stearns P
2026-06-21 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain, Qualifying
Stearns P 0:2 Birrell K Stearns P
2026-06-20 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain, Qualifying
Stearns P 2:0 Appleton E Stearns P
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKalieva E - Stearns P

Kalieva E
0 matches total
Stearns P
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Memfis