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WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
2 round 29.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction

Maria T - Zarazua R

Tennis WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard 2-y krug hard 29.07.2026 21:00 UTC Finished
29.07.2026 21:00 UTC 2-y krug Finished
Maria T
Maria T Germany Seed 79
W
Zarazua R
Zarazua R Mexico Seed 83
W
0:2
Odds
P1 1.58 61.3% BetBoom
P2 2.50 38.7% BetBoom
Stadium: Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1 Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Germany Country Mexico
- Rating -
38 Age 28
172 Height (cm) 160
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
79 Seed 83
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Maria T
43% 20 / 47
43% 20 / 47
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 13
grass
8 iz 12
hard
6 iz 22
Zarazua R
38% 10 / 26
38% 10 / 26
Sintetika
no data
clay
2 iz 4
grass
0 iz 4
hard
8 iz 18

Head-to-head history

Memfis
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Maria T β€” 61%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Maria T): model 64% Β· market 59% Ξ” +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 Β· Maria T ✓ Pick60.9%
market59%
2 Β· Zarazua R39.1%
market41%

Model estimate: win Maria T 60.9%, win Zarazua R 39.1%. Model favourite β€” Maria T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Maria T (odds1.46) Score 2:1 confidence 64% βœ— outcome missed
  • • Mariya T
  • • πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ β€” Sarasua R
  • • (Mek) (tennis)
  • • Mariya T
  • • πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Sarasua R
  • • (Mek): forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.60β†’1.45 (ukorotilas β€” dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Mariya T
  • • πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ: probability 64% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.46)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maria T - Zarazua R July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Maria T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Maria T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.30
  • Glicko: Maria T 60.9% / Zarazua R 39.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 ✓ Pick 59.0%
2 41.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.60 ↓ 1.58
Winner 2 2.35 ↑ 2.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Maria T
5-5LWLLWLWWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.1
Zarazua R
3-7WLWWLLLLLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Match center
Stadium Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1
Start 29.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Maria T - Zarazua R

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Tatyana Mariya - Renata Sarasua. Memfis. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 60.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.741 / LogLoss 0.938
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.526 / LogLoss 0.720
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Maria T 60.5% 60.9% market and model agree
Zarazua R 39.5% 39.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 60.9% / 39.1% probabilities
Rating 1,811 / 1,401 Maria T / Zarazua R
RD 130 / 173 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,551-2,070 / 1,055-1,747 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.30 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 39.1%
1 1.60 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 60.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.5 2.35 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.40 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 19.5 1.60 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.60 62.5%
— 1.68 59.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 2.50 40.0%
1.96 51.0% 2.70 37.0%
1.84 54.4% —
— 2.20 45.5%
— 2.07 48.3%
— 1.95 51.3%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.52 65.8%
— 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 19.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Over 21.5 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Over 23.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Over 24.5 — 2.65 37.7%
Over 25.5 — 3.00 33.3%
Under 18.5 — 2.70 37.0%
Under 19.5 — 2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.73 57.8%
Under 22.5 — 1.57 63.7%
Under 23.5 — 1.48 67.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.56 64.1%
2.50 40.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.39 41.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-07-29 Β· Tatyana Mariya 0:2 Renata Sarasua
Source: ruscore

Odds Β· 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.6 (Pari) Β· 2 2.8 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.6 2.35
Winline 1.54 2.37
Fonbet 1.6 2.35
Betcity 1.44 2.8
Source: ruscore Β· line comparison

Match stats

5 Eysy 0
0 Dvoynye oshibki 0
3 Vsego breyk-poyntov 8
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
56 Vyigrannye Points 66
35 Points na podache 38
28 Poteryannye Points na podache 21
36 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 51
27 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 8
21 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 33
14 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 5
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
6 Geymy na podache 8
8 Vyigrannye geymy 12
3 Maks. geymov podryad 4
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Maria T
W
27.07 20:00 UTC WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Maria T 2:0 Gibson T. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊGibson T. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Zarazua R
W
28.07 21:30 UTC WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Zarazua R 2:0 Kessler M. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈKessler M. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMaria T - Zarazua R

Maria T
0 matches total
Zarazua R
Biggest win β€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match β€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Memfis