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WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
1 round 28.07.2026 21:30 UTC

Zarazua R - Kessler M

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Kessler M β€” 71%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Kessler M): model 44% Β· market 73% Ξ” βˆ’29 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Zarazua R29.2%
market27%
2 Β· Kessler M ✓ Pick70.8%
market73%

Model estimate: win Zarazua R 29.2%, win Kessler M 70.8%. Model favourite β€” Kessler M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Kessler M (odds1.25) Score 0:2 confidence 72%
  • • Sarasua R
  • • (Mek) β€” Kessler M
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ (tennis)
  • • Sarasua R
  • • (Mek): forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • • Kessler M
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.30β†’1.25 (ukorotilas β€” dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Kessler M
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: probability 72% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zarazua R - Kessler M July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kessler M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.60 / 2 1.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 26.5%
2 ✓ Pick 73.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 3.50 ↑ 3.60
Pobeditel P2 1.30 β†’ 1.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Zarazua R
3-7WLWWLLLLLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.6
Kessler M
5-5WLWLLWWLWL
scored 1.0conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Tennis WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
WTA - Singles: Memphis πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 21:30 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 21:30 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Zarazua R
Zarazua R Mexico Seed 83
Kessler M
Kessler M USA Seed 47
-:-
Odds
P1 3.80 25.5% BetBoom
P2 1.30 74.5% BetBoom
Stadium: Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1 Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Mexico Country USA
- Rating -
28 Age 27
160 Height (cm) 175
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
83 Seed 47
hard Coverage hard
Posev 2 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Zarazua R
36% 9 / 25
36% 9 / 25
Sintetika
no data
clay
2 iz 4
grass
0 iz 4
hard
7 iz 17
Kessler M
52% 23 / 44
52% 23 / 44
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 9
grass
3 iz 7
hard
15 iz 28

Head-to-head history

Memfis
Match center
Stadium Leftvich Tennis Senter. Kort 1
Start 28.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Zarazua R - Kessler M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Renata Sarasua - Makkartni Kessler. Memfis. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zarazua R 26.2% 29.2%
Kessler M 73.8% 70.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 29.2% / 70.8% probabilities
Rating 1,345 / 1,247 Zarazua R / Kessler M
RD 188 / 231 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 969-1,720 / 784-1,710 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 70.8%
1 3.60 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 29.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.5 1.28 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 3.60 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 3.35 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.35 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 18.5 1.53 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 3.35 29.9%
— 3.10 32.3%
— 2.80 35.7%
— 2.40 41.7%
2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5%
— 1.63 61.4%
— 1.35 74.1%
— 3.60 27.8%
— 1.28 78.1%
— 1.32 75.8%
— 1.38 72.5%
— 1.50 66.7%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 2.13 47.0%
— 2.90 34.5%
— 1.25 80.0%
1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 1.35 74.1%
Over 18.5 — 1.53 65.4%
Over 19.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 20.5 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 — 2.20 45.5%
Over 22.5 — 2.55 39.2%
Over 23.5 — 2.80 35.7%
Over 24.5 — 3.00 33.3%
Under 17.5 — 3.00 33.3%
Under 18.5 — 2.35 42.6%
Under 19.5 — 2.03 49.3%
Under 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1%
Under 21.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Under 22.5 — 1.45 69.0%
Under 23.5 — 1.40 71.4%
Under 24.5 — 1.35 74.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Zarazua RLLLWLWWLLL
Kessler MLWLWWLLLWL
H2H 0-0-3
2026-05-16 Β· Renata Sarasua 0:2 Makkartni Kessler
2025-05-18 Β· Renata Sarasua 0:2 Makkartni Kessler
2024-06-27 Β· Renata Sarasua 1:2 Makkartni Kessler
Source: ruscore

Odds Β· 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.3 (Betcity) Β· 2 1.26 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.85 1.25
Winline 3.49 1.26
Fonbet 3.85 1.25
Betcity 4.3 1.22
Source: ruscore Β· line comparison
Zarazua R
D
28.07.2026 Championat
Zarazua R V. Van Siyuy (China) 1 6 3 6 β€” K. Keti Maknelli Keti Maknelli πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2 4 6 7 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Kessler M
D D
28.07.2026 Championat
4 Z. Zeynep Senmez (Turkey) 2 6 3 6 WC K. Kadens Breys (Canada) 1 4 6 3 1-y krug Kessler M
28.07.2026 Championat
1 E. Ekaterina Aleksandrova (Russia) 1 6 4 Rt Q K. Kessler M
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZarazua R - Kessler M

Zarazua R
0 matches total
Kessler M
Biggest win β€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match β€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Memfis