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WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
2 round 04.08.2026 21:45 UTC Match prediction

Kalinskaya A - Kessler M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard 2-y krug hard 04.08.2026 21:45 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 21:45 UTC 2-y krug Finished
Kalinskaya A
Kalinskaya A Russia Seed 21
L W W L W
Kessler M
Kessler M USA Seed 48
W L L W L
2:1 6:2 6:7 6:4
1 2 3 GP
Kalinskaya A 6 6 6 2
Kessler M 2 7 4 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.57 61.0% BetBoom
P2 2.46 39.0% BetBoom
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Rodzhers 5G Grandstend Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Russia Country USA
- Rating -
27 Age 27
175 Height (cm) 175
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
17 Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 2

Form over the last year

Kalinskaya A
60% 31 / 52
60% 31 / 52
Sintetika
no data
clay
8 iz 12
grass
3 iz 6
hard
20 iz 34
Kessler M
51% 22 / 43
51% 22 / 43
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 9
grass
3 iz 7
hard
14 iz 27

Head-to-head history

Taymlayn Makkartni Kessler 0:1 Anna Kalinskaya 1 Anna Kalinskaya 2:1 Anna Kalinskaya 3:1 Anna Kalinskaya 4:1 Makkartni Kessler 4:2 Anna Kalinskaya 5:2
Statistika 1 Eysy 1 4 Dvoynye oshibki 1 20 Rozygryshi 33 35% 7/20 Popadanie pervoy podachi 18/33 55% 100% 7/7 Vy

Kalinskaya A go head-to-head with Kessler M on August 4, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kalinskaya A 3-0-2, Kessler M 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kalinskaya A — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kalinskaya A): model 64% · market 61% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Kalinskaya A ✓ Pick61.0%
market61%
2 · Kessler M39.0%
market39%

Model estimate: win Kalinskaya A 61.0%, win Kessler M 39.0%. Model favourite — Kalinskaya A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kalinskaya A (odds1.54) Score 2:1 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Kalinskaya A
  • • (World) — Kessler M
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Kalinskaya A
  • • (World): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Kessler M
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.60→1.53 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Kalinskaya A
  • • (World): probability 62% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kalinskaya A - Kessler M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kalinskaya A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kalinskaya A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.40
  • Glicko: Kalinskaya A 61.0% / Kessler M 39.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 60.6%
2 39.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.60 ↓ 1.55
Winner 2 2.35 ↑ 2.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kalinskaya A
7-3LWWWWLWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.9
Kessler M
5-5WLWLLWWLWL
scored 1.0conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 20:47 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:1
Per AI data Form:LWWWW / WWLLL H2H: 0:0 Injuries:no
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 2:0 Under 21.5
Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter. Rodzhers 5G Grandstend
Start 04.08.2026 21:45 UTC
Market 1 60.8% @ 1.55 / 2 39.2% @ 2.40
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 4
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Kalinskaya A 65%
📐 Math model Kalinskaya A 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Kalinskaya A - Kessler M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Anna Kalinskaya - Makkartni Kessler. Toronto. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Kalinskaya A Kessler M Result
Set 1 6 2 6:2
Set 2 6 7 6:7
Set 3 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 61.0% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.305 / LogLoss 0.495
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.667
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kalinskaya A 60.6% 61.0% market and model agree
Kessler M 39.4% 39.0%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.0% / 39.0% probabilities
Rating 1,850 / 1,420 Kalinskaya A / Kessler M
RD 190 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,470-2,230 / 1,038-1,802 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 Fonbet · no value · model 39.0%
1 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 61.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.55 64.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% —
1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% —
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 2.65 37.7%
1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5% 2.90 34.5%
1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.48 67.6%
— — 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.33 75.2%
Over 19.5 — — 1.48 67.6%
Over 20.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
Over 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 22.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 25.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Under 18.5 — — 3.05 32.8%
Under 19.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Under 20.5 — — 2.08 48.1%
Under 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.53 65.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%
2.40 41.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.39 41.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-04 · Anna Kalinskaya 2:1 Makkartni Kessler
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.57 (Winline) · 2 2.5 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.53 2.5
Winline 1.57 2.4
Fonbet 1.53 2.5
Betcity 1.55 2.46
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

7 Eysy 5
12 Dvoynye oshibki 3
20 Vsego breyk-poyntov 5
7 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
117 Vyigrannye Points 101
58 Points na podache 61
40 Poteryannye Points na podache 59
53 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 72
33 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 45
35 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 43
23 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
11 Geymy na podache 8
18 Vyigrannye geymy 13
4 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 1
Source: ruscore
Kalinskaya A
L W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Kalinskaya A Pegula J 2:0 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Kalinskaya A Tjen J 1:2 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Kalinskaya A Kasatkina D 0:2 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kalinskaya A Bencic B 2:1 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kalinskaya A Parry D 1:2 Kalinskaya A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Kessler M
W L L W L
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Kessler M 2:0 Brace C Kessler M
2026-07-29 2026 Memphis, USA
Zarazua R 2:0 Kessler M Kessler M
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sabalenka A 2:0 Kessler M Kessler M
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Oliynykova O 0:2 Kessler M Kessler M
2026-06-25 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Kessler M 0:2 Keys M Kessler M
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKalinskaya A - Kessler M

Kalinskaya A
0 matches total
Kessler M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Taymlayn Makkartni Kessler 0:1 Anna Kalinskaya 1 Anna Kalinskaya 2:1 Anna Kalinskaya 3:1 Anna Kalinskaya 4:1 Makkartni Kessler 4:2 Anna Kalinskaya 5:2
Event
Statistika 1 Eysy 1 4 Dvoynye oshibki 1 20 Rozygryshi 33 35% 7/20 Popadanie pervoy podachi 18/33 55% 100% 7/7 Vy