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WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard

Kalinskaya A - Kessler M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction

Kalinskaya A go head-to-head with Kessler M on August 4, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kalinskaya A 3-0-2, Kessler M 2-0-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kalinskaya A62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kalinskaya A): model 64% · market 62% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Kalinskaya A ✓ Pick61.9%
market62%
2 · Kessler M38.1%
market38%

Model estimate: win Kalinskaya A 61.9%, win Kessler M 38.1%. Model favourite — Kalinskaya A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kalinskaya A (odds1.54) Score 2:1 confidence 62%
  • Kalinskaya A
  • (World) — Kessler M
  • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • Kalinskaya A
  • (World): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • Kessler M
  • 🇺🇸: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • liniya na pik P1 1.60→1.53 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • Model backs Kalinskaya A
  • (World): probability 62% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kalinskaya A - Kessler M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kalinskaya A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.53 / 2 2.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 4 books · best price +1.3%
1 ✓ Pick 61.7%
2 38.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.60 ↓ 1.53
Winner P2 2.35 ↑ 2.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kalinskaya A
7-3LWWWWLWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.9
Kessler M
5-5WLWLLWWLWL
scored 1.0conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard 2-y krug hard 04.08.2026 21:00 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 21:00 UTC 2-y krug Not started
Kalinskaya A
Kalinskaya A Russia
L W W L W
Kessler M
Kessler M USA
W L L W L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.56 61.6% BetBoom
P2 2.50 38.4% BetBoom
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Rodzhers 5G Grandstend Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Russia Country USA
- Rating -
27 Age 27
175 Height (cm) 175
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
17 Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Kalinskaya A
60% 31 / 52
60% 31 / 52
Sintetika
no data
clay
8 iz 12
grass
3 iz 6
hard
20 iz 34
Kessler M
51% 22 / 43
51% 22 / 43
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 9
grass
3 iz 7
hard
14 iz 27

Head-to-head history

Toronto
Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter. Rodzhers 5G Grandstend
Start 04.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 62.0% @ 1.53 / 2 38.0% @ 2.50
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Kalinskaya A - Kessler M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Anna Kalinskaya - Makkartni Kessler. Toronto. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kalinskaya A 61.7% 61.9% market and model agree
Kessler M 38.3% 38.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.9% / 38.1% probabilities
Rating 1,850 / 1,420 Kalinskaya A / Kessler M
RD 190 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,470-2,230 / 1,038-1,802 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 Fonbet · no value · model 38.1%
1 1.53 Fonbet · no value · model 61.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.72 58.1% 1.81 55.3%
1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%
2.35 42.6%
2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5%
1.82 55.0%
2.35 42.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.53 65.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 20.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6%
Over 22.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 23.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 19.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 23.5 1.52 65.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1%
2.50 40.0% 2.46 40.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.39 41.8%
Match center
Kalinskaya A
L W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Kalinskaya A Pegula J 2:0 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Kalinskaya A Tjen J 1:2 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Kalinskaya A Kasatkina D 0:2 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kalinskaya A Bencic B 2:1 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kalinskaya A Parry D 1:2 Kalinskaya A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Kessler M
W L L W L
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Kessler M 2:0 Brace C Kessler M
2026-07-29 2026 Memphis, USA
Zarazua R 2:0 Kessler M Kessler M
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sabalenka A 2:0 Kessler M Kessler M
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Oliynykova O 0:2 Kessler M Kessler M
2026-06-25 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Kessler M 0:2 Keys M Kessler M
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKalinskaya A - Kessler M

Kalinskaya A
0 matches total
Kessler M
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Toronto