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WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Kasatkina D - Rybakina E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard hard 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Kasatkina D
Kasatkina D
W
Rybakina E
Rybakina E
1:2
Odds
P1 6.60 14.5% BetBoom
P2 1.12 85.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Kasatkina D go head-to-head with Rybakina E on August 6, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 18% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Rybakina E — 82%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rybakina E): model 54% · market 84% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kasatkina D18.1%
market16%
2 · Rybakina E ✓ Pick81.9%
market84%

Model estimate: win Kasatkina D 18.1%, win Rybakina E 81.9%. Model favourite — Rybakina E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kasatkina D - Rybakina E August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rybakina E.

Line favourite market consensus: Rybakina E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.20 / 2 1.13
  • Glicko: Kasatkina D 18.1% / Rybakina E 81.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 3 books
1 15.9%
2 ✓ Pick 84.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kasatkina D
5-5WLWWLLLLWW
scored 1.2conceded 1.2
Rybakina E
6-4WWLWLWLLWW
scored 1.5conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 15.4% @ 6.20 / 2 84.6% @ 1.13
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Kasatkina D - Rybakina E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Kasatkina D Rybakina E SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 4/13 3/12 final
Points na prieme 42% (44/105) 40% (51/126) final
Eysy 15 3 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 9/12 9/13 final
Dvoynye oshibki 16 6 final
Pervaya podacha, % 44% 65% final
Points na pervoy podache 80% (43/54) 59% (40/68) final
Points na vtoroy podache 44% (31/70) 57% (21/37) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 81.9% fact: away hit / ROI 12.0% / Brier 0.066 / LogLoss 0.200
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.8% fact: away hit / ROI 12.0% / Brier 0.426 / LogLoss 0.619
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kasatkina D 15.1% 18.1%
Rybakina E 84.9% 81.9% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 18.1% / 81.9% probabilities
Rating 1,521 / 1,700 Kasatkina D / Rybakina E
RD 143 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,234-1,807 / 1,381-2,019 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 81.9%
1 5.93 market consensus · no value · model 18.1%
Total
Over 18.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% 2.01 49.8%
— 1.67 59.9% —
— 2.08 48.1% —
1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 9.5 — 1.82 55.0% —
Over 18.5 — — 1.76 56.8%
Over 19.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3%
Under 9.5 — 1.88 53.2% —
Under 18.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 19.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
6.00 16.7% 6.20 16.1% 5.60 17.9%
1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Kasatkina D
W
04.08 00:30 UTC WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
Kasatkina D 2:1 Van S. 🇨🇳Van S. 🇨🇳
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Rybakina E
L W W L W
04.07 10:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 0:2 Mertens E. 🇧🇪Mertens E. 🇧🇪
02.07 14:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 2:0 Maknalli K. 🇺🇸Maknalli K. 🇺🇸
30.06 12:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 2:1 Boisson L. 🇫🇷Boisson L. 🇫🇷
12.06 14:45 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: London (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 1:2 Bulter K. 🇬🇧Bulter K. 🇬🇧
12.06 08:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: London (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rybakina E 2:1 Mariya T. 🇩🇪Mariya T. 🇩🇪
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKasatkina D - Rybakina E

Kasatkina D
0 matches total
Rybakina E
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history