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WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
2 round 05.08.2026 18:35 UTC Match prediction

Kostyuk M - Sebov K

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard 2 round hard 05.08.2026 18:35 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 18:35 UTC 2 round Finished
Kostyuk M
Kostyuk M Ukraine
Sebov K
Sebov K Canada
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.04 92.3% BetBoom
P2 12.50 7.7% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Ukraine Country Canada
- Rating -
24 Age 27
175 Height (cm) 173
- Weight (kg) -
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
C 1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Kostyuk M
73% 35 / 48
73% 35 / 48
Synthetic
no data
Clay
16 of 17
Grass
5 of 6
Hard
14 of 25
Sebov K
50% 1 / 2
50% 1 / 2
Synthetic
no data
Clay
no data
Grass
no data
Hard
1 of 2

Head-to-head history

2021
Chikago-1 Hard
1 round 8
  M. Marta Kostyuk 2 6 6
  K. Ketrin Sebov 0 0 3

Kostyuk M go head-to-head with Sebov K on August 5, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 89% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kostyuk M — 89%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kostyuk M): model 65% · market 92% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kostyuk M ✓ Pick89.4%
market92%
2 · Sebov K10.6%
market8%

Model estimate: win Kostyuk M 89.4%, win Sebov K 10.6%. Model favourite — Kostyuk M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kostyuk M - Sebov K August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kostyuk M.

Line favourite market consensus: Kostyuk M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.04 / 2 12.00
  • Glicko: Kostyuk M 89.4% / Sebov K 10.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 92.1%
2 7.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kostyuk M
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.6
Sebov K
4-6LLWLWWLWLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 05.08.2026 18:35 UTC
Market 1 92.0% @ 1.04 / 2 8.0% @ 12.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Kostyuk M - Sebov K

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Marta Kostyuk - Ketrin Sebov. Toronto. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 89.4% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.022 / LogLoss 0.112
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.7% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.410 / LogLoss 0.603
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kostyuk M 92.1% 89.4% market and model agree
Sebov K 7.9% 10.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 89.4% / 10.6% probabilities
Rating 1,999 / 1,486 Kostyuk M / Sebov K
RD 129 / 162 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,742-2,257 / 1,161-1,810 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 market consensus · no value · model 10.6%
1 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 89.4%
Total
Over 16.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Over 17.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— 1.88 53.2% —
1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%
2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.21 45.3%
— 1.82 55.0% —
2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.18 45.9%
1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.64 61.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 6.5 — 1.92 52.1% —
Over 16.5 — 1.74 57.5% —
Over 17.5 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%
Under 6.5 — 1.78 56.2% —
Under 16.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
Under 17.5 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%
12.00 8.3% 12.00 8.3% 10.00 10.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2021-08-22 · Marta Kostyuk 2:0 Ketrin Sebov
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.04 (Pari) · 2 12.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.04 12
Winline 1.04 11
Fonbet 1.04 12
Betcity 1.03 12.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Kostyuk M
L W W W W
09.07 12:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Kostyuk M 0:2 Noskova L. 🇨🇿Noskova L. 🇨🇿
08.07 10:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Kostyuk M 2:0 Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹Paolini Ya. 🇮🇹
06.07 08:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Kostyuk M 2:0 Kryuger E. 🇺🇸Kryuger E. 🇺🇸
04.07 08:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Kostyuk M 2:1 Navarro E. 🇺🇸Navarro E. 🇺🇸
02.07 10:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Kostyuk M 2:1 Blinkova A. (World)Blinkova A. (World)
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Sebov K
W
02.08 19:45 UTC WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
Sebov K 2:0 Ito A. 🇯🇵Ito A. 🇯🇵
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKostyuk M - Sebov K

Kostyuk M
0 matches total
Sebov K
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history