Kostyuk M face Keys M on August 6, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): Kostyuk M 4-0-1, Keys M 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Kostyuk M — 60%
60%1
1 · Kostyuk M ✓ Pick59.7%
market57%
2 · Keys M40.3%
market43%
Model estimate: win Kostyuk M 59.7%, win Keys M 40.3%. Model favourite — Kostyuk M.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Kostyuk M (odds1.63)Score 2:1confidence 60%
•Kostyuk M
•🇺🇦 — Kiz M
•🇺🇸 (tennis)
•Kostyuk M
•🇺🇦: forma VPVVV (4-1)
•Kiz M
•🇺🇸: forma VPPVV (3-2)
•liniya na pik P1 1.68→1.65 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Kostyuk M
•🇺🇦: probability 60% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
•no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kostyuk M - Keys M August 6, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Kostyuk M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.25
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.5%
2 books
1 ✓ Pick57.3%
242.7%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.68↓ 1.65
Winner P22.18↑ 2.25
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Kostyuk M
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.6
Keys M
8-2LWWLWWWWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.5
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
TennisWTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard3-y krughard06.08.2026 16:05 UTCNot started
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Kostyuk M57.7%59.7%market and model agree
Keys M42.3%40.3%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P259.7% / 40.3%
probabilities
Rating1,999 / 1,793
Kostyuk M. 🇺🇦 / Kiz M. 🇺🇸
RD130 / 146
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,738-2,260 / 1,501-2,085
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.25
Fonbet · no value · model 40.3%
11.65
Fonbet · no value · model 59.7%
Total
Over 21.51.92
Fonbet · line only
Under 21.51.88
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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