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WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard

06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Pegula J - Frech M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard

WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard hard 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished

06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished

Pegula J

Frech M

2:1

Odds

P1 1.12 84.3% BetBoom

P2 6.00 15.7% BetBoom

Coverage: hard

Preview

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

WTA - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard

Pegula Dzh. 🇺🇸 1 2

Fresh M. 🇵🇱 0 1

Pegula J go head-to-head with Frech M on August 6, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Pegula J — 60%

1 · Pegula J ✓ Pick59.7%

market87%

2 · Frech M40.3%

market13%

Model estimate: win Pegula J 59.7%, win Frech M 40.3%. Model favourite — Pegula J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pegula J - Frech M August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pegula J.

Line favourite market consensus: Pegula J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.11 / 2 7.40
Glicko: Pegula J 59.7% / Frech M 40.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 3 books · best price +1.8%

1 ✓ Pick 86.5%

2 13.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pegula J

7-3WLLWWWLWWW

scored 1.6conceded 0.7

Frech M

2-8LLLLLLWLLW

scored 0.9conceded 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Start 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Market 1 87.0% @ 1.11 / 2 13.0% @ 7.40

Coverage hard

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Pegula J - Frech M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 20

Metric Pegula J Frech M SStats

Breyk-poynty realizovany 5/7 3/6 final

Points na prieme 45% (35/77) 42% (38/90) final

Eysy 6 4 final

Breyk-poynty otygrany 3/6 2/7 final

Dvoynye oshibki 6 2 final

Pervaya podacha, % 62% 58% final

Points na pervoy podache 71% (40/56) 57% (25/44) final

Points na vtoroy podache 35% (12/34) 53% (17/32) final

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 59.7% fact: home hit / ROI 12.0% / Brier 0.325 / LogLoss 0.516

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.2% fact: home hit / ROI 12.0% / Brier 0.477 / LogLoss 0.670

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Pegula J 84.3% 59.7% market and model agree

Frech M 15.7% 40.3%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 59.7% / 40.3% probabilities

Rating 1,923 / 1,696 Pegula J / Frech M

RD 219 / 226 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,486-2,361 / 1,243-2,148 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.97 market consensus · no value · model 40.3%

1 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 59.7%

Total

Over 18.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Over 19.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
1.69 59.2%	1.76 56.8%	—
2.07 48.3%	2.08 48.1%	2.08 48.1%
2.15 46.5%	2.06 48.5%	—
1.74 57.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
Over 18.5	1.78 56.2%	1.81 55.3%	1.88 53.2%
Over 19.5	—	2.06 48.5%	—
Under 18.5	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.89 52.9%
Under 19.5	—	1.76 56.8%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.09 91.7%	1.11 90.1%	1.09 91.7%
	7.40 13.5%	6.50 15.4%	7.00 14.3%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-0

2026-08-05 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:1 Magdalena Fresh

2026-07-30 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:1 Magdalena Fresh

2025-04-17 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh

2023-04-28 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh

2021-09-27 · Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.12 (Winline) · 2 6.7 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	1.11	6.7
Winline	1.12	6.3
Fonbet	1.11	6.7
Betcity	1.11	6.7

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

6 Eysy 4

6 Dvoynye oshibki 2

7 Vsego breyk-poyntov 6

5 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3

86 Vyigrannye Points 80

51 Points na podache 43

39 Poteryannye Points na podache 34

56 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 45

28 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 30

39 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 26

12 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 17

9 Maks. ochkov podryad 10

10 Geymy na podache 8

15 Vyigrannye geymy 11

5 Maks. geymov podryad 3

0 Tay-breyk 0

Source: ruscore

Pegula J

L W W W W

01.08 21:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard

Pegula J 1:2 Eala A

01.08 18:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard

Pegula J 2:0 Shnayder D

30.07 17:15 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard

Pegula J 2:1 Fresh M. 🇵🇱

05.07 10:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass

Pegula J 2:1 Jovic I. 🇺🇸

03.07 10:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass

Pegula J 2:0 Buzas Maneyro Dzh. 🇪🇸

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Frech M

02.08 22:00 UTC WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard

Frech M 2:0 Zhanzhan L. 🇫🇷

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.0 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPegula J - Frech M

Pegula J

1 matches total

Frech M

Pegula J: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Frech M: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Pegula Dzh. 🇺🇸 2:1 (30.07 17:15 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 30.07 17:15 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

30.07 17:15 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard

Pegula Dzh. 🇺🇸

2:1

Fresh M. 🇵🇱