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WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
05.08.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction

Samsonova L - Krejcikova B

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard hard 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 21:00 UTC Finished
Samsonova L
Samsonova L
Rank #55 Elo 1068
42Struggling Form
W L W W L W W W
Krejcikova B
Krejcikova B
Rank #26 Elo 1776
71Good Form
W L W W L W L L
2:0
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#55 Rating #26
27 Age 30
1.82m Height (cm) 1.78m
- Weight (kg) 62kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Samsonova L Krejcikova B
Aces per match 3.20 4.04
Double faults per match 4.9 4
Breaks per match 3.83 0.63

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Liudmila Samsonova
Rank:55 Elo: 1068
W L W W L W W W
Barbora Krejcikova
Rank:26 Elo: 1776
W L W W L W L L
Elo favourite:Krejcikova B (edge +708 Elo)

Hard

Liudmila SamsonovaBarbora Krejcikova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 43.8% 7 / 16 Matches 75.0% 9 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 46.4% 13 / 28 Matches 67.9% 19 / 28 Matches
Aces Per Match 3.00 3.85
Most Aces in a match 44 % 46 %

Clay

Liudmila SamsonovaBarbora Krejcikova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 37.5% 3 / 8 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 37.5% 3 / 8 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.88 3.67
Most Aces in a match 50 % 67 %

Grass

Liudmila SamsonovaBarbora Krejcikova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches 77.8% 7 / 9 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches 77.8% 7 / 9 Matches
Aces Per Match 5.50 4.40
Most Aces in a match 83 % 60 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova
H2H wins 3 (75.0%) 1 (25.0%)
Sets 6 (66.7%) 3 (33.3%)
Wins this year 41.9% 13 / 31 Matches 70.8% 17 / 24 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 44.2% 19 / 43 Matches 67.5% 27 / 40 Matches
Current rank 55 26

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova
Prize money (career) $5,847,447 USD $14,790,633 USD
Rating 55 26
Age 27 30
Height 1.82m 1.78m
Weight — 62kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova
Match Wins 42 % 71 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 43 % 71 %
Wins in Straight Sets 35 % 63 %
Wins From Behind 5 % 13 %
Won At Least 1 Set 74 % 92 %
Set 1 Win 61 % 79 %
Set 2 Win 48 % 75 %
Set 3 Win 17 % 29 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova
Aces 2 4
Double Faults 5 5
1st serve percentage 50% 53%
1st serve points won 74% (26/35) 66% (19/29)
2nd serve points won 57% (20/35) 35% (9/26)
Break Points Saved 4/5 6/10
1st return points won 34% (10/29) 26% (9/35)
2nd return points won 65% (17/26) 43% (15/35)
Break Points Converted 4/10 1/5
Service Points Won 66% (46/70) 51% (28/55)
Return Points Won 49% (27/55) 34% (24/70)
Total Points Won 58% (73/125) 42% (52/125)
Last 10 balls 5 5
Match points saved 0 2
Service games won 90% (9/10) 56% (5/9)
Return games won 44% (4/9) 10% (1/10)
Total games won 68% (13/19) 32% (6/19)

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
May 20 2024 W35 Koge ITF Doubles Women (Clay) Liudmila Samsonova 2 – 1 Barbora Krejcikova
Feb 9 2024 Abu Dhabi WTA (Hard) Liudmila Samsonova 2 – 0 Barbora Krejcikova
Apr 18 2023 Stuttgart WTA (Clay) Liudmila Samsonova 0 – 2 Barbora Krejcikova
Feb 9 2023 Abu Dhabi WTA (Hard) Liudmila Samsonova 2 – 0 Barbora Krejcikova

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.26 9.13 9.2
Over 6.5 93 % 96 % 95 %
Over 7.5 90 % 75 % 83 %
Over 8.5 73 % 58 % 66 %
Over 9.5 40 % 38 % 39 %
Over 10.5 17 % 17 % 17 %
Over 11.5 17 % 17 % 17 %

Aces

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova Match total
Aces Per Match 3.20 4.04 7.24
Most Aces in a match 53 % 54 % N/A
1+ 90 % 92 % 96 %
2+ 67 % 85 % 91 %
3+ 53 % 73 % 89 %
4+ 40 % 58 % 81 %
5+ 30 % 38 % 70 %

Breaks

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.83 0.63 4.46
Over 0.5 100 % 54 % 77 %
Over 1.5 100 % 54 % 77 %
Over 2.5 97 % 4 % 52 %
Over 3.5 60 % 0 % 52 %
Over 4.5 53 % 0 % 51 %
Over 5.5 47 % 0 % 51 %

Tie-breaks

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.17 0.33 0.25
Over 0.5 17 % 25 % 21 %
Over 1.5 0 % 8 % 4 %
Under 0.5 83 % 75 % 21 %
Under 1.5 100 % 92 % 4 %

Double faults

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.9 4 8.9
Over 0.5 (1+) 93 % 88 % 96 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 87 % 88 % 96 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 83 % 65 % 96 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 70 % 50 % 91 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 50 % 35 % 78 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 40 % 31 % 73 %

Net points

Liudmila Samsonova Barbora Krejcikova Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 9.3 13.25 22.55
Over 4.5 (5+) 60 % 100 % 80 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 60 % 100 % 80 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 60 % 100 % 80 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 60 % 100 % 80 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 60 % 100 % 80 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 40 % 100 % 70 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.35 41.1% BetBoom
P2 1.64 58.9% BetBoom

Samsonova L meet Krejcikova B on August 5, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Krejcikova B — 58%

Pure model vs market (2 · Krejcikova B): model 55% · market 58% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Samsonova L42.1%
2 · Krejcikova B ✓ Pick57.9%

Model estimate: win Samsonova L 42.1%, win Krejcikova B 57.9%. Model favourite — Krejcikova B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Krejcikova B (odds1.41) Score 1:2 confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Samsonova L
  • • (World) — Kreychikova B
  • • 🇨🇿 (tennis)
  • • Samsonova L
  • • (World): forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Kreychikova B
  • • 🇨🇿: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Kreychikova B
  • • 🇨🇿: probability 55% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samsonova L - Krejcikova B August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krejcikova B.

Line favourite market consensus: Krejcikova B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / 2 1.64
  • Glicko: Samsonova L 42.1% / Krejcikova B 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 41.8%
2 ✓ Pick 58.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Samsonova L
7-3WLWWLWWLWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8
Krejcikova B
7-3LLWWWWLWWW
scored 1.5conceded 0.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 41.1% @ 2.35 / 2 58.9% @ 1.64
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Samsonova L - Krejcikova B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Samsonova L Krejcikova B SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 4/10 1/5 final
Points na prieme 49% (27/55) 34% (24/70) final
Eysy 2 4 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 4/5 6/10 final
Dvoynye oshibki 5 5 final
Pervaya podacha, % 50% 53% final
Points na pervoy podache 74% (26/35) 66% (19/29) final
Points na vtoroy podache 57% (20/35) 35% (9/26) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 57.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.670 / LogLoss 0.865
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.519 / LogLoss 0.712
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Samsonova L 41.8% 42.4% market and model agree
Krejcikova B 58.3% 57.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko42.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.34).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 42.1% / 57.9% probabilities
Rating 1,805 / 2,004 Samsonova L / Krejcikova B
RD 171 / 153 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,463-2,148 / 1,698-2,310 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 57.9%
1 2.29 market consensus · no value · model 42.1%
Total
Over 20.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Over 21.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.81 55.3%
1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8%
1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.88 53.2%
1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8%
2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.04 49.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
Under 20.5 1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.99 50.3%
Under 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.35 42.6% 2.26 44.3% 2.26 44.3%
1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Samsonova L
W
03.08 19:30 UTC WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
Samsonova L 2:0 Tjen J. 🇮🇩Tjen J. 🇮🇩
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Krejcikova B
L W W W W
25.07 11:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Livesport Prague Open (Czechia), hard
Krejcikova B 1:2 Tagger L. 🇦🇹Tagger L. 🇦🇹
24.07 11:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Livesport Prague Open (Czechia), hard
Krejcikova B 2:0 Salkova D. 🇨🇿Salkova D. 🇨🇿
23.07 11:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Livesport Prague Open (Czechia), hard
Krejcikova B 2:0 Khavlichkova L. 🇨🇿
21.07 11:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Livesport Prague Open (Czechia), hard
Krejcikova B 2:0 Frukhvirtova L. 🇨🇿Frukhvirtova L. 🇨🇿
18.07 16:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Athens (Greece), hard
Krejcikova B 2:1 Tauson K. 🇩🇰Tauson K. 🇩🇰
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamsonova L - Krejcikova B

Samsonova L
0 matches total
Krejcikova B
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history