Sierra S meet Stephens S on August 3, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sierra S 2-0-3, Stephens S 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Sierra S — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sierra S): model 40% · market 51%Δ −11 ppmodel estimates below the market
50%1
1 · Sierra S50.3%
2 · Stephens S49.7%
Model estimate: win Sierra S 50.3%, win Stephens S 49.7%. Model favourite — Sierra S.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Stephens S (odds1.70)Score 1:2confidence 60%✓ outcome correct
•Serra S
•🇦🇷 — Stivens S
•🇺🇸 (tennis)
•Serra S
•🇦🇷: forma PPPPP (0-5)
•Stivens S
•🇺🇸: forma VPVVP (3-2)
•Model backs Stivens S
•🇺🇸: probability 60% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
•legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sierra S - Stephens S August 3, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stephens S.
Line favourite Fonbet: Stephens S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.40 / 2 1.14
Glicko: Sierra S 50.3% / Stephens S 49.7%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.7%
4 books · best price +192.7%
151.5%
248.6%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 12.13↑ 5.40
Winner 21.72↓ 1.14
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Sierra S
7-3WWLWWLWWLW
scored 1.5conceded 0.9
Stephens S
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 23:43 UTC
155%✓ favourite
245%
Score2:1Total games: Over 21.5Bet:1 at 1.85
Per AI dataH2H: 0:0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 23:46 UTC
153%✓ favourite
247%
Score2:1 (Serra)Total games: Over 21.5Bet:Over 21.5 games (koef. ot 1.85)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
55%
45%
2:1
Over 21.5
Claude
53%
47%
2:1 (Serra)
Over 21.5
Over 21.5 games (koef. ot 1.85)
Match center
StadiumAviva Senter. Rodzhers 5G Grandstend
Start03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market1 17.4% @ 5.40 / 2 82.6% @ 1.14
Stage1-y krug
Coveragehard
Form9 matches
H2H3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsSierra S 54%
📐 Math modelSierra S 50%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Sierra S - Stephens S
Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Solana Serra - Sloan Stivens, 04 avgusta 2026. Toronto. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Solana Serra - Sloan Stivens, kto pobedil.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
home - 50.3% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.505 / LogLoss 0.699
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
home - 50.0% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.694
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Sierra S51.5%50.3%market and model agree
Stephens S48.6%49.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P250.3% / 49.7%
probabilities
Rating1,204 / 1,698
Sierra S / Stephens S
RD252 / 165
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD700-1,709 / 1,369-2,028
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.14
Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
15.40
Fonbet · weak value +171.5% · model 50.3%
Handicap
2 -0.51.77
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.72
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.93
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.52.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.51.43
Fonbet · line only
Over 17.51.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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