WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard1-y krughard02.08.2026 20:30 UTCFinished
02.08.2026 20:30 UTC1-y krugFinished
Stefanini LItaly
Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴Colombia
0:2
Odds
P13.40
28.7% BetBoom
P21.37
71.3% BetBoom
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Pervyy kortCoverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
ItalyCountryColombia
-Rating-
28Age24
164Height (cm)162
-Weight (kg)-
PravshaHandPravsha
QSeed0
hardCoveragehard
1H2H1
Form over the last year
Stefanini L
43%3 / 7
43% 3 / 7
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 2
grass
no data
hard
2 iz 5
Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴
46%18 / 39
46% 18 / 39
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 10
grass
1 iz 2
hard
12 iz 27
Head-to-head history
Toronto
Stefanini L take on Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴 on August 2, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 34% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴 — 66%
Pure model vs market (2 · Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴):model 39% · market 71%Δ −32 ppmodel estimates below the market
66%2
1 · Stefanini L33.5%
market29%
2 · Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴✓ Pick66.5%
market71%
Model estimate: win Stefanini L 33.5%, win Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴 66.5%. Model favourite — Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•🇨🇴: probability 61% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stefanini L - Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴 August 2, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴.
Line favourite market consensus: Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.40 / 2 1.37
Glicko: Stefanini L 33.5% / Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴 66.5%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 2.4%
128.7%
2 ✓ Pick71.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Stefanini L
3-7LWLLLLLWLW
scored 0.8conceded 1.5
Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴
6-4WLWWLWWLLW
scored 1.4conceded 1.1
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
away - 66.5% fact: away
hit / ROI 37.0% / Brier 0.225 / LogLoss 0.408
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
away - 52.0% fact: away
hit / ROI 37.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.654
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Stefanini L30.5%33.5%
Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴69.5%66.5%market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P233.5% / 66.5%
probabilities
Rating1,848 / 1,604
Stefanini L / Osorio C
RD135 / 156
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,577-2,118 / 1,292-1,916
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.35
market consensus · no value · model 66.5%
13.20
market consensus · no value · model 33.5%
Total
Over 20.51.82
market consensus · line only
Over 21.51.94
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
2.0748.3%
2.0748.3%
2.0848.1%
1.7457.5%
1.7656.8%
1.7557.1%
1.7457.5%
1.7656.8%
1.7357.8%
2.0748.3%
2.0748.3%
2.0449.0%
Total
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
Over 20.5
1.8155.3%
1.8255.0%
—
Over 21.5
1.9750.8%
1.9052.6%
1.9651.0%
Under 20.5
1.9850.5%
2.0050.0%
—
Under 21.5
1.8255.0%
1.9052.6%
1.8255.0%
Outcome (1X2)
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
3.1032.3%
3.4029.4%
3.1032.3%
1.3773.0%
1.3275.8%
1.3673.5%
Match center
Stefanini L
D
02.08.2026Championat
Stefanini LK. Kamilla Rakhimova (Uzbekistan) WC V. Vinus Uilyams Vinus Uilyams 🇺🇸 1-y krug
0Wins
0Losses
-Sets won
-Sets lost
0%Win percentage
Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴
DD
02.08.2026Championat
K. Kimberli Birrell (Australia) V. Viktoriya Golubich (Switzerland) 1-y krugOsorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴
02.08.2026Championat
LD V. Van Siyuy (China) S. Sara Beylek (Czechia)Osorio Serrano M.-K. 🇨🇴
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