Wang Xinyu go head-to-head with Kasatkina D on August 4, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Wang Xinyu — 51%
Pure model vs market (1 · Wang Xinyu): model 57% · market 50% Δ +7 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Wang Xinyu 50.7%, win Kasatkina D 49.3%. Model favourite — Wang Xinyu.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Van Sinyuy - Darya Kasatkina. Toronto. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.89 52.9% | — | 1.86 53.8% | |
| — | 1.74 57.5% | — | |
| 1.91 52.4% | — | 1.94 51.6% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.87 53.5% | — | 1.84 54.4% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | — | 1.91 52.4% | |
| — | 2.10 47.6% | — | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.81 55.3% |
| Over 22.5 | — | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.96 51.0% |
| Under 22.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% |
Wang Xinyu
Kasatkina D
Full head-to-head historyWang Xinyu - Kasatkina D
The Wang Xinyu - Kasatkina D breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.