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WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
1 round 04.08.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

Wang Xinyu - Kasatkina D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 00:30 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 00:30 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Wang Xinyu
Wang Xinyu China
Kasatkina D
Kasatkina D Australia
1:2 6:1 6:7 5:7
1 2 3 GP
Wang Xinyu 6 6 5 1
Kasatkina D 1 7 7 2
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.91 50.5% BetBoom
P2 1.95 49.5% BetBoom
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

China Country Australia
- Rating -
24 Age 29
182 Height (cm) 170 -
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Wang Xinyu
49% 24 / 49
49% 24 / 49
Sintetika
no data
clay
2 iz 7
grass
4 iz 7
hard
18 iz 35
Kasatkina D
39% 12 / 31
39% 12 / 31
Sintetika
no data
clay
4 iz 9
grass
2 iz 5
hard
6 iz 17

Head-to-head history

2025
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
  Wang Xinyu 0
  Kasatkina D 0
2024
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
  Wang Xinyu 0
  Kasatkina D 0
2023
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
  Wang Xinyu 0
  Kasatkina D 0

Wang Xinyu go head-to-head with Kasatkina D on August 4, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Wang Xinyu — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Wang Xinyu): model 57% · market 51% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Wang Xinyu51.4%
2 · Kasatkina D48.6%

Model estimate: win Wang Xinyu 51.4%, win Kasatkina D 48.6%. Model favourite — Wang Xinyu.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Wang Xinyu (odds1.89) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Van S
  • • 🇨🇳 — Kasatkina D
  • • 🇦🇺 (tennis)
  • • Van S
  • • 🇨🇳: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • Kasatkina D
  • • 🇦🇺: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Van S
  • • 🇨🇳: probability 57% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.89)
  • • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wang Xinyu - Kasatkina D August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wang Xinyu.

Line favourite market consensus: Wang Xinyu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / 2 1.95
  • Glicko: Wang Xinyu 51.4% / Kasatkina D 48.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 3 books · best price +2.1%
1 50.8%
2 49.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Wang Xinyu
4-6LWWLLLWWLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.3
Kasatkina D
5-5WLWWLLLLWW
scored 1.2conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 04.08.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 50.5% @ 1.91 / 2 49.5% @ 1.95
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Wang Xinyu - Kasatkina D

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Van Sinyuy - Darya Kasatkina, 04 avgusta 2026. Toronto. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Van Sinyuy - Darya Kasatkina, kto pobedil.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Wang Xinyu Kasatkina D Result
Set 0 6 1 6:1
Set 1 6 7 6:7
Set 2 5 7 5:7
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Wang Xinyu 50.8% 51.4% market and model agree
Kasatkina D 49.2% 48.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.4% / 48.6% probabilities
Rating 1,608 / 1,495 Wang Xinyu / Kasatkina D
RD 198 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,211-2,005 / 1,191-1,798 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 48.6%
1 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 51.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Over 22.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.89 52.9% — 1.86 53.8%
— 1.74 57.5% —
1.91 52.4% — 1.94 51.6%
— 2.05 48.8% —
— 1.90 52.6% —
1.87 53.5% — 1.84 54.4%
— 1.77 56.5% —
1.89 52.9% — 1.91 52.4%
— 2.10 47.6% —
— 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.78 56.2%
Over 22.5 — 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 — 1.85 54.1% 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%
1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.86 53.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Wang XinyuLLWLWLWWW
Kasatkina DWLWWLWWLLL
H2H 2-0-2
2026-08-04 · Sinyuy Van 1:2 Darya Kasatkina
2025-06-17 · Sinyuy Van 2:0 Darya Kasatkina
2024-06-25 · Sinyuy Van 0:2 Darya Kasatkina
2023-10-03 · Sinyuy Van 2:0 Darya Kasatkina
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2 (Betcity) · 2 1.9 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.95 1.85
Winline 1.9 1.9
Fonbet 1.95 1.85
Betcity 2 1.82
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 0
8 Dvoynye oshibki 9
17 Vsego breyk-poyntov 11
8 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 7
104 Vyigrannye Points 99
53 Points na podache 56
43 Poteryannye Points na podache 51
63 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 70
31 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 30
37 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 38
16 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 7
9 Geymy na podache 7
17 Vyigrannye geymy 15
4 Maks. geymov podryad 4
0 Tay-breyk 1
Source: ruscore
Wang Xinyu
D
04.08.2026 Championat
Wang Xinyu 00 Q V. Viktoriya Khimenes-Kasintseva (Andorra) 0 4 — A. Alisiya Parks Alisiya Parks 🇺🇸 2 6 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Kasatkina D
D D
03.08.2026 Championat
WC K. Kerol Chzhao (Canada) 1 6 1 4 — M. Magda Linett (Poland) 2 4 6 1-y krug Kasatkina D
03.08.2026 Championat
Q L. Lois Buasson (France) 1 6 1 3 — A. Antoniya Kasatkina D
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWang Xinyu - Kasatkina D

Wang Xinyu
0 matches total
Kasatkina D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Berlin grass 1-y krug Q V. Van Sinyuy Van Sinyuy (China) 2 6 D. Darya Kasatkina Darya Kasatkina (Australia) 0 3 2
Event
2024 Istburn (zh) grass 1-y krug 6 D. Darya Kasatkina Darya Kasatkina (Russia) 2 6 V. Van Sinyuy Van Sinyuy (China) 0 4 2
Event
2023 Pekin (zh)