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WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
05.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction

Zarazua R - Aerne L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard hard 05.08.2026 23:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 23:00 UTC Finished
Zarazua R
Zarazua R
W
Aerne L
Aerne L
0:2
Odds
P1 3.25 29.7% BetBoom
P2 1.37 70.4% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Zarazua R meet Aerne L on August 5, 2026 in the WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 32% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Aerne L — 68%

Pure model vs market (2 · Aerne L): model 48% · market 70% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zarazua R31.9%
market30%
2 · Aerne L ✓ Pick68.1%
market70%

Model estimate: win Zarazua R 31.9%, win Aerne L 68.1%. Model favourite — Aerne L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Aerne L (odds1.36) Score 1:2 confidence 68% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Sarasua R
  • • (Mek) — Fernandes L
  • • 🇨🇦 (tennis)
  • • Sarasua R
  • • (Mek): forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Fernandes L
  • • 🇨🇦: forma VP (1)
  • • Model backs Fernandes L
  • • 🇨🇦: probability 68% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.36)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zarazua R - Aerne L August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aerne L.

Line favourite market consensus: Aerne L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.30 / 2 1.37
  • Glicko: Zarazua R 31.9% / Aerne L 68.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 3 books
1 30.2%
2 ✓ Pick 69.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Zarazua R
3-7WLWWLLLLLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.6
Aerne L
4-6WWLLLWWLLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 29.3% @ 3.30 / 2 70.7% @ 1.37
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Zarazua R - Aerne L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zarazua R 29.7% 31.9%
Aerne L 70.3% 68.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 31.9% / 68.1% probabilities
Rating 1,698 / 1,699 Zarazua R / Aerne L
RD 139 / 247 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,420-1,975 / 1,205-2,193 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 68.1%
1 3.17 market consensus · no value · model 31.9%
Total
Over 20.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Over 21.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— 2.10 47.6% —
1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%
— 1.73 57.8% —
1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9%
Over 21.5 — 1.95 51.3% —
Under 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.94 51.6% 1.89 52.9%
Under 21.5 — 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.05 32.8%
1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%
Match center
Zarazua R
W
03.08 21:30 UTC WTA - Singles: Toronto (Canada), hard
Zarazua R 2:1 Korpach T. 🇩🇪Korpach T. 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Aerne L
W L
27.07 12:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Aerne L 2:0 Linett MLinett M
21.05 14:25 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Strasburg (France), clay
Aerne L 0:2 Mboko V. 🇨🇦Mboko V. 🇨🇦
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZarazua R - Aerne L

Zarazua R
0 matches total
Aerne L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history