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WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard

Frech M - Li A

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Li A63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Li A): model 46% · market 67% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Frech M36.8%
market33%
2 · Li A ✓ Pick63.2%
market67%

Model estimate: win Frech M 36.8%, win Li A 63.2%. Model favourite — Li A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Frech M (odds2.40) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • Fresh M
  • 🇵🇱 — Li E
  • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • Fresh M
  • 🇵🇱: forma VPVV (3-1)
  • Li E
  • 🇺🇸: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • Model backs Fresh M
  • 🇵🇱: probability 51% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
  • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Frech M - Li A July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Li A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.85 / 2 1.43

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 33.4%
2 ✓ Pick 66.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.40 ↑ 2.85
Pobeditel P2 1.58 ↓ 1.43

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Frech M
2-8LLLLLLWLLW
scored 0.9conceded 1.7
Li A

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated28.07.2026 19:50 UTC
1 30%
2 70% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:2
Per AI data Form:LLWLL / WLLWL H2H: 0:5
Claude updated28.07.2026 20:02 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over
Qwen updated28.07.2026 19:59 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 20:19 UTC
1 35%
2 65% ✓ favourite
Bet:2
Details

Thought Process
Thought Process
Thought Process
Thought Process
Thought Process

Based on my research, here's a comprehensive overview of the 2026 Mubadala DC Open (formerly known as the Citi Open/Washington Open):

🏆 Tournament Overview
INFORMATION

DETAILS

Official Name 2026 Mubadala DC Open
Also Known As Washington Open
Dates July 27 – August 2, 2026
Category ATP 500 (men) / WTA 500 (women)
Surface Outdoor Hard Courts
Venue William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Center, Washington, D.C.
Draw Size 32 Singles / 16 Doubles (men); 28 Singles / 16 Doubles (women)
Edition 57th (men), 14th (women)
💰 Prize Money
ATP (Men's)
CATEGORY

AMOUNT

Total Prize Money $2,469,450
Singles Champion $461,835
Year-over-year increase +3.06%
WTA (Women's)
CATEGORY

AMOUNT

Total Prize Money $1,637,982
Singles Champion $252,000
Year-over-year increase +27.67%
WTA Prize Money Breakdown by Round:
ROUND

SINGLES

DOUBLES (PER TEAM)

Round of 32 $17,440 -
Round of 16 $24,474 $9,210
Quarterfinals $47,750 $15,140
Semifinals $90,900 $29,490
Final $252,000 $83,500
🎯 ATP Seeds (Men's Singles)
SEED

PLAYER

COUNTRY

RANKING

1 Alex de Minaur AUS 5
2 Ben Shelton USA 6
3 Taylor Fritz USA 10
4 Lorenzo Musetti ITA 15
5 Learner Tien USA 16
6 Frances Tiafoe USA 17
7 Jakub Menšík CZE 18
8 Arthur Fils FRA 23

Notable Withdrawals: Félix Auger-Aliassime, Jack Draper, Daniil Medvedev, Arthur Rinderknech

🎯 WTA Seeds (Women's Singles)
SEED

PLAYER

COUNTRY

RANKING

1 Jessica Pegula USA 3
2 Elina Svitolina UKR 10
3 Naomi Osaka JPN 13
4 Diana Shnaider - 18
5 Anna Kalinskaya - 20
6 Madison Keys USA 23
7 Leylah Fernandez CAN 25
8 Emma Navarro USA 27

Notable Withdrawals: Jasmine Paolini, Marta Kostyuk, Jaqueline Cristian

📊 Selected First-Round Results
ATP (Men's - Selected Completed Matches)
Taylor Fritz (3) def. Z Bergs: 6-3, 6-4
Kei Nishikori def. J. Shang (close match)
Aleksandar Vukic def. Z. Svajda: 6-6, 3-1 (retired)
Lorenzo Musetti (4) def. M. Arnaldi (retired)
Frances Tiafoe (6) def. T. Atmane: 6-3, 4-6, 6-4
Alejandro Tabilo def. T. Griekspoor: 7-6, 4-6, 6-3
Ugo Humbert def. A. Martin: 6-7, 2-5, 7-5
WTA (Women's - Completed Round of 32)
J. Tjen def. R. Šramková: 6-4, 6-2
X. Wang def. J. Pareja: 7-6(3), 6-3
L. Samsonova def. M. Keys (6): 3-6, 6-4, 6-4
E. Navarro (8) def. S. Kenin: 6-0, 7-5
C. Tauson def. E. Cocciaretto: 6-4, 6-7(2), 6-2
A. Krueger def. K. Boulter: 3-6, 6-2, 6-2
L. Fernandez (7) def. M. Linette: 6-1, 6-4
P. Kudermetova def. C. Bucsa: 5-7, 7-6(4), 6-0
📅 Tournament Schedule
DATE

ROUND

STATUS

July 27-28 First Round (ATP/WTA) ✅ Completed/Ongoing
July 29 Second Round 🔄 In Progress
July 30 Round of 16 (WTA) Upcoming
July 31 Quarterfinals Upcoming
August 1 Semifinals Upcoming
August 2 Finals Upcoming
🏟️ Venue Information

The William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Center features:

15 hard courts
Main stadium capacity: 7,500 spectators
Located in Rock Creek Park, Washington, D.C.
📱 Where to Watch

The tournament is currently live (as of July 29, 2026). Broadcasting options vary by region:

United States: Check ESPN platforms and Tennis Channel
International: ATP Tour TV / WTA TV streaming available
🔑 Key Storylines
Alex de Minaur returns as defending men's champion
Leylah Fernandez returns as defending women's champion
Naomi Osaka continues her comeback at a WTA 500 event
Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz lead American hopes
Prize money increased significantly, especially on the women's side (+27.67%)

Note: The tournament is currently in progress. For real-time scores and complete draw updates, visit the official ATP Tour or WTA websites.

Last updated: July 29, 2026 - Tournament in progress

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 30% 70% 0:2 Under 21.5
Claude 38% 62% 0:2 Over 21.5 Over
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 35% 65% 2
Tennis WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard hard 28.07.2026 19:25 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 19:25 UTC Not started
Frech M
Frech M
Li A
Li A
-:-
Odds
P1 2.85 34.2% BetBoom
P2 1.48 65.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 19:25 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Li A 51%
📐 Math model Li A 63%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Frech M - Li A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Frech M 34.9% 36.8%
Li A 65.1% 63.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 36.8% / 63.2% probabilities
Rating 1,552 / 1,514 Frech M / Li A
RD 223 / 181 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,106-1,998 / 1,152-1,877 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.43 Fonbet · no value · model 63.2%
1 2.85 Fonbet · no value · model 36.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.65 37.7%
2.45 40.8%
2.20 45.5%
1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
2.85 35.1%
3.10 32.3%
1.42 70.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.60 62.5%
1.85 54.1%
2.25 44.4%
3.00 33.3%
1.37 73.0%
1.32 75.8%
1.87 53.5% 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 19.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 20.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 21.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Over 22.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 23.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 24.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 25.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 26.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 18.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 19.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 20.5 2.08 48.1%
Under 21.5 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.70 37.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.70 37.0%
1.43 69.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.43 69.9% 1.46 68.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Frech MLLLLWLWLWL
Li ALWLLLWWLWL
H2H 0-0-2
2026-02-10 · Magdalena Fresh 0:2 Enn Li
2021-10-28 · Magdalena Fresh 1:2 Enn Li
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.7 (Pari) · 2 1.49 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.7 1.47
Winline 2.6 1.49
Fonbet 2.7 1.47
Betcity 2.6 1.49
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Frech M
W L W W
13.06 07:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Berlin (Germany) - Qualifying, grass
Frech M 2:1 Sasnovich A. (World)Sasnovich A. (World)
27.05 13:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Frech M 0:2 Taykhmann Zh. 🇨🇭
24.05 11:20 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Frech M 1:0 Ruze G. 🇷🇴Ruze G. 🇷🇴
18.05 06:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Strasburg (France), clay
Frech M 2:0 Gibson T. 🇦🇺Gibson T. 🇦🇺
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
75% Win percentage
Li A
L W L W L
16.07 12:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Athens (Greece), hard
Li A 0:2 Korneeva AKorneeva A
15.07 16:50 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Athens (Greece), hard
Li A 2:0 Timofeeva M. 🇺🇿Timofeeva M. 🇺🇿
28.05 10:55 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Li A 0:2 Parri D. 🇫🇷Parri D. 🇫🇷
26.05 09:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Li A 2:0 Chzhan Shuay 🇨🇳Chzhan Shuay 🇨🇳
22.05 10:40 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Strasburg (France), clay
Li A 0:2 Navarro E. 🇺🇸Navarro E. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFrech M - Li A

Frech M
0 matches total
Li A
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history