Frech M - Li A
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Li A — 63%
Pure model vs market (2 · Li A): model 46% · market 67% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Frech M 36.8%, win Li A 63.2%. Model favourite — Li A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Fresh M
- • 🇵🇱 — Li E
- • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
- • Fresh M
- • 🇵🇱: forma VPVV (3-1)
- • Li E
- • 🇺🇸: forma PVPVP (2-3)
- • Model backs Fresh M
- • 🇵🇱: probability 51% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
- • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Frech M - Li A July 28, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.85 / 2 1.43
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi
Details
Thought Process
Thought Process
Thought Process
Thought Process
Thought Process
Based on my research, here's a comprehensive overview of the 2026 Mubadala DC Open (formerly known as the Citi Open/Washington Open):
🏆 Tournament Overview
INFORMATION
DETAILS
Official Name 2026 Mubadala DC Open
Also Known As Washington Open
Dates July 27 – August 2, 2026
Category ATP 500 (men) / WTA 500 (women)
Surface Outdoor Hard Courts
Venue William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Center, Washington, D.C.
Draw Size 32 Singles / 16 Doubles (men); 28 Singles / 16 Doubles (women)
Edition 57th (men), 14th (women)
💰 Prize Money
ATP (Men's)
CATEGORY
AMOUNT
Total Prize Money $2,469,450
Singles Champion $461,835
Year-over-year increase +3.06%
WTA (Women's)
CATEGORY
AMOUNT
Total Prize Money $1,637,982
Singles Champion $252,000
Year-over-year increase +27.67%
WTA Prize Money Breakdown by Round:
ROUND
SINGLES
DOUBLES (PER TEAM)
Round of 32 $17,440 -
Round of 16 $24,474 $9,210
Quarterfinals $47,750 $15,140
Semifinals $90,900 $29,490
Final $252,000 $83,500
🎯 ATP Seeds (Men's Singles)
SEED
PLAYER
COUNTRY
RANKING
1 Alex de Minaur AUS 5
2 Ben Shelton USA 6
3 Taylor Fritz USA 10
4 Lorenzo Musetti ITA 15
5 Learner Tien USA 16
6 Frances Tiafoe USA 17
7 Jakub Menšík CZE 18
8 Arthur Fils FRA 23
Notable Withdrawals: Félix Auger-Aliassime, Jack Draper, Daniil Medvedev, Arthur Rinderknech
🎯 WTA Seeds (Women's Singles)
SEED
PLAYER
COUNTRY
RANKING
1 Jessica Pegula USA 3
2 Elina Svitolina UKR 10
3 Naomi Osaka JPN 13
4 Diana Shnaider - 18
5 Anna Kalinskaya - 20
6 Madison Keys USA 23
7 Leylah Fernandez CAN 25
8 Emma Navarro USA 27
Notable Withdrawals: Jasmine Paolini, Marta Kostyuk, Jaqueline Cristian
📊 Selected First-Round Results
ATP (Men's - Selected Completed Matches)
Taylor Fritz (3) def. Z Bergs: 6-3, 6-4
Kei Nishikori def. J. Shang (close match)
Aleksandar Vukic def. Z. Svajda: 6-6, 3-1 (retired)
Lorenzo Musetti (4) def. M. Arnaldi (retired)
Frances Tiafoe (6) def. T. Atmane: 6-3, 4-6, 6-4
Alejandro Tabilo def. T. Griekspoor: 7-6, 4-6, 6-3
Ugo Humbert def. A. Martin: 6-7, 2-5, 7-5
WTA (Women's - Completed Round of 32)
J. Tjen def. R. Šramková: 6-4, 6-2
X. Wang def. J. Pareja: 7-6(3), 6-3
L. Samsonova def. M. Keys (6): 3-6, 6-4, 6-4
E. Navarro (8) def. S. Kenin: 6-0, 7-5
C. Tauson def. E. Cocciaretto: 6-4, 6-7(2), 6-2
A. Krueger def. K. Boulter: 3-6, 6-2, 6-2
L. Fernandez (7) def. M. Linette: 6-1, 6-4
P. Kudermetova def. C. Bucsa: 5-7, 7-6(4), 6-0
📅 Tournament Schedule
DATE
ROUND
STATUS
July 27-28 First Round (ATP/WTA) ✅ Completed/Ongoing
July 29 Second Round 🔄 In Progress
July 30 Round of 16 (WTA) Upcoming
July 31 Quarterfinals Upcoming
August 1 Semifinals Upcoming
August 2 Finals Upcoming
🏟️ Venue Information
The William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Center features:
15 hard courts
Main stadium capacity: 7,500 spectators
Located in Rock Creek Park, Washington, D.C.
📱 Where to Watch
The tournament is currently live (as of July 29, 2026). Broadcasting options vary by region:
United States: Check ESPN platforms and Tennis Channel
International: ATP Tour TV / WTA TV streaming available
🔑 Key Storylines
Alex de Minaur returns as defending men's champion
Leylah Fernandez returns as defending women's champion
Naomi Osaka continues her comeback at a WTA 500 event
Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz lead American hopes
Prize money increased significantly, especially on the women's side (+27.67%)
Note: The tournament is currently in progress. For real-time scores and complete draw updates, visit the official ATP Tour or WTA websites.
Last updated: July 29, 2026 - Tournament in progress
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total games | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 30% | 70% | 0:2 | Under 21.5 | |
| Claude | 38% | 62% | 0:2 | Over 21.5 | Over |
| Qwen | 78% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| GLM 5.2 | 35% | 65% | — | — | 2 |
About the athletes
Frech M - Li A
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 2.65 37.7% | |
| — | — | 2.45 40.8% | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 2.85 35.1% | |
| — | — | 3.10 32.3% | |
| — | — | 1.42 70.4% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 2.25 44.4% | |
| — | — | 3.00 33.3% | |
| — | — | 1.37 73.0% | |
| — | — | 1.32 75.8% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 18.5 | — | — | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 19.5 | — | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 20.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 22.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 25.5 | — | — | 2.75 36.4% |
| Over 26.5 | — | — | 3.10 32.3% |
| Under 18.5 | — | — | 3.10 32.3% |
| Under 19.5 | — | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Under 20.5 | — | — | 2.08 48.1% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 22.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.70 37.0% | |
| 1.43 69.9% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.46 68.5% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.7 | 1.47 |
| Winline | 2.6 | 1.49 |
| Fonbet | 2.7 | 1.47 |
| Betcity | 2.6 | 1.49 |
Frech M
Sasnovich A. (World)
Ruze G. 🇷🇴
Gibson T. 🇦🇺
Li A
Korneeva A
Timofeeva M. 🇺🇿
Parri D. 🇫🇷
Chzhan Shuay 🇨🇳
Navarro E. 🇺🇸
Full head-to-head historyFrech M - Li A
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Frech M - Li A breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form