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WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard
1 round 28.07.2026 17:55 UTC

Kasatkina D - Kalinskaya A

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Kalinskaya A — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Kalinskaya A): model 59% · market 64% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kasatkina D37.2%
market36%
2 · Kalinskaya A ✓ Pick62.8%
market64%

Model estimate: win Kasatkina D 37.2%, win Kalinskaya A 62.8%. Model favourite — Kalinskaya A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Kalinskaya A (odds1.57) Score 1:2 confidence 60%
  • • Kasatkina D
  • • 🇦🇺 — Kalinskaya A
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Kasatkina D
  • • 🇦🇺: forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • Kalinskaya A
  • • (World): forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.60→1.57 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Kalinskaya A
  • • (World): probability 60% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kasatkina D - Kalinskaya A July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kalinskaya A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.48

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 35.8%
2 ✓ Pick 64.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.35 ↑ 2.65
Pobeditel P2 1.60 ↓ 1.48

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kasatkina D
5-5WLWWLLLLWW
scored 1.2conceded 1.2
Kalinskaya A
7-3LWWWWLWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 17:55 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 17:55 UTC 1-y krug Not started
Kasatkina D
Kasatkina D Australia Seed 61
Kalinskaya A
Kalinskaya A Russia Seed 20
-:-
Odds
P1 2.65 36.8% BetBoom
P2 1.54 63.3% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Australia Country Russia
- Rating -
29 Age 27
170 Height (cm) 175
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
Q Seed 5
hard Coverage hard
3 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Kasatkina D
41% 13 / 32
41% 13 / 32
Sintetika
no data
clay
4 iz 9
grass
2 iz 5
hard
7 iz 18
Kalinskaya A
60% 31 / 52
60% 31 / 52
Sintetika
no data
clay
8 iz 12
grass
3 iz 6
hard
20 iz 34

Head-to-head history

2024
WTA. Washington. Hard
  D. Darya Kasatkina 2 5 6 7
  A. Anna Kalinskaya 1 7 4 5
2022
WTA. Washington. Hard
  Kasatkina D 0
  Kalinskaya A 0
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa
Start 28.07.2026 17:55 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Kasatkina D - Kalinskaya A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Darya Kasatkina - Anna Kalinskaya. Vashington (zh). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Championat

Match flow

Source

Schet lichnykh vstrech — 4-1 v polzu Kasatkinoy (schitaya match v qualifiers Kubka Kremlya v 2015 godu). Anna poka chto sumela pobedit ee tolko v tretem kruge Gvadalakhary-2022 — 6:2:6:3. Posle etogo tennisistki sygrali esche vo vtorom raunde Adelaidy-2024 (togda eto tozhe bylo derbi), and tam Darya oderzhala volevuyu pobedu so schetom 5:7, 6:4, 7:5. A Karen Khachanov v Los-Kabose sygraet vpervye posle Uimbldona Shnayder, Samsonova and Kalinskaya — v odnoy polovine setki Vashingtona. Highlights turnirov nedeli Zdravstvuyte, uvazhaemye lyubiteli tennisa! Priglashaem vas na tekstovuyu translyatsiyu matches round 1a turnira WTA-500 v Vashingtone mezhdu Annoy Kalinskoy and Darey Kasatkinoy. Eta vstrecha postavlena tretim z

07:50 Schet lichnykh vstrech — 4-1 v polzu Kasatkinoy (schitaya match v qualifiers Kubka Kremlya v 2015 godu). Anna poka chto sumela pobedit ee tolko v tretem kruge Gvadalakhary-2022 — 6:2:6:3. Posle etogo tennisistki sygrali esche vo vtorom raunde Adelaidy-2024 (togda eto tozhe bylo derbi), and tam Darya oderzhala volevuyu pobedu so schetom 5:7, 6:4, 7:5. A Karen Khachanov v Los-Kabose sygraet vpervye posle Uimbldona Shnayder, Samsonova and Kalinskaya — v odnoy polovine setki Vashingtona. Highlights turnirov nedeli
07:48 Zdravstvuyte, uvazhaemye lyubiteli tennisa! Priglashaem vas na tekstovuyu translyatsiyu matches round 1a turnira WTA-500 v Vashingtone mezhdu Annoy Kalinskoy and Darey Kasatkinoy. Eta vstrecha postavlena tretim zapuskom na korte imeni Dzhona Kharrisa (vtorom po znachimosti) posle Games Artyura Fisa s Rafaelem Khodarom and nachnetsya ne ranshe
22:00 po moskovskomu vremeni. Ne propustite! Na «Rolan Garros» Anna doshla do chetvertfinala Kalinskaya proigrala glavnoy sensatsii «RG». 114-ya raketka mira — v polufinale «Shlema»!
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kasatkina D 36.7% 37.2%
Kalinskaya A 63.3% 62.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 37.2% / 62.8% probabilities
Rating 1,509 / 1,875 Kasatkina D / Kalinskaya A
RD 157 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,196-1,822 / 1,556-2,194 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.48 Fonbet · no value · model 62.8%
1 2.65 Fonbet · no value · model 37.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% —
1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% —
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 2.85 35.1%
— — 1.48 67.6%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.63 61.4%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 2.13 47.0%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 1.42 70.4%
— — 1.37 73.0%
1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —
1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.42 70.4%
Over 19.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 24.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Over 25.5 — — 3.05 32.8%
Under 18.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Under 19.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% —
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.57 38.9% 2.47 40.5% 2.65 37.7% 2.55 39.2%
1.47 68.0% 1.54 64.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Kasatkina DWWLWWLLLLW
Kalinskaya ALWWLWLLWWW
H2H 1-0-1
2024-01-10 · Darya Kasatkina 2:1 Anna Kalinskaya
2022-10-21 · Darya Kasatkina 1:2 Anna Kalinskaya
2022-01-05 · Darya Kasatkina Anna Kalinskaya
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.6 (Betcity) · 2 1.6 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.35 1.6
Winline 2.45 1.55
Fonbet 2.35 1.6
Betcity 2.6 1.49
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Kasatkina D
D
28.07.2026 Championat
Kasatkina D WC E. Eshlin Kryuger Eshlin Kryuger 🇺🇸 2 3 6 LD K. Keti Bulter (Velikobritaniya) 1 6 2 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Kalinskaya A
D D
28.07.2026 Championat
D. Dzhaniche Chen (Indonesia) 2 6 Q R. Rebekka Shramkova (Slovakia) 0 4 2 1-y krug Kalinskaya A
28.07.2026 Championat
L. Lyudmila Samsonova (Russia) 2 3 6 — M. Medison Kalinskaya A
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKasatkina D - Kalinskaya A

Kasatkina D
0 matches total
Kalinskaya A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2024 Adelaida (zh) hard 2-y krug D. Darya Kasatkina Darya Kasatkina (Russia) 2 5 6 7 Q A. Anna Kalinskaya Anna Kalinskaya (Russia) 1 7 4 5
Event
2022 Gvadalakhara-2 hard 3-y krug 7 D. Darya Kasatkina Darya Kasatkina (Russia) 1 2 6 3 A. Anna Kalinskaya Anna Kalinskaya (R