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WTA. Washington. Hard

quarter-final 31.07.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

Cocciaretto E - Osaka N

Tennis WTA. Washington. Hard

WTA. Washington. Hard 1/4 finala hard 31.07.2026 18:00 UTC Finished

31.07.2026 18:00 UTC 1/4 finala Finished

Cocciaretto E Italy Seed 71

W W L L L

Osaka N Japan Seed 13

W L W W W

1:2 6:4 4:6 3:6

1 2 3 GP

Cocciaretto E 6 4 3 1

Osaka N 4 6 6 2

1 2 3

Odds

P1 5.40 17.7% BetBoom

P2 1.16 82.3% BetBoom

Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Japan

- Rating -

25 Age 28

166 Height (cm) 180 -

- Weight (kg) -

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

71 Seed 13

hard Coverage hard

Posev 3 0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Cocciaretto E

56% 20 / 36

56% 20 / 36

Sintetika

no data

clay

4 iz 9

grass

0 iz 2

hard

16 iz 25

Osaka N

70% 33 / 47

70% 33 / 47

Sintetika

no data

clay

7 iz 10

grass

8 iz 10

hard

18 iz 27

Head-to-head history

2024

WTA. Washington. Hard

E. Elizabetta Kochcharetto 0 3

N. Naomi Osaka 1 6

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Osaka N — 80%

Pure model vs market (2 · Osaka N): model 57% · market 82% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cocciaretto E20.4%

market18%

2 · Osaka N ✓ Pick79.6%

market82%

Model estimate: win Cocciaretto E 20.4%, win Osaka N 79.6%. Model favourite — Osaka N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cocciaretto E - Osaka N July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osaka N.

Line favourite Fonbet: Osaka N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.30 / 2 1.16
Glicko: Cocciaretto E 20.4% / Osaka N 79.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 18.0%

2 ✓ Pick 82.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 5.60 ↓ 5.20

Winner 2 1.14 ↑ 1.16

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Cocciaretto E

no data

Osaka N

9-1WWLWWWWWWW

scored 1.8conceded 0.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa

Start 31.07.2026 18:00 UTC

Market 1 18.0% @ 5.30 / 2 82.0% @ 1.16

Stage 1/4 finala

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Cocciaretto E - Osaka N

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Elizabetta Kochcharetto - Naomi Osaka, 31 iyulya 2026. Vashington (zh). Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Elizabetta Kochcharetto - Naomi Osaka, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Cocciaretto E Osaka N Result

Set 0 6 4 6:4

Set 1 4 6 4:6

Set 2 3 6 3:6

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 79.6% fact: away hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.084 / LogLoss 0.229

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 53.5% fact: away hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.432 / LogLoss 0.625

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Cocciaretto E 18.0% 20.4%

Osaka N 82.0% 79.6% market and model agree

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 20.4% / 79.6% probabilities

Rating 1,745 / 2,060 Cocciaretto E / Osaka N

RD 216 / 179 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,314-2,177 / 1,703-2,418 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 79.6%

1 5.30 Fonbet · no value · model 20.4%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 4.80 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Over 18.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Fonbet
	—	4.80 20.8%
	—	4.30 23.3%
	—	3.70 27.0%
	—	2.95 33.9%
	—	2.20 45.5%
	1.80 55.6%	1.73 57.8%
	—	1.37 73.0%
	—	1.17 85.5%
	—	1.14 87.7%
	—	1.18 84.8%
	—	1.23 81.3%
	—	1.35 74.1%
	—	1.60 62.5%
	—	2.05 48.8%
	—	2.85 35.1%
	—	4.50 22.2%
	1.95 51.3%	—

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Fonbet
Over 17.5	—	1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5	—	1.50 66.7%
Over 19.5	1.80 55.6%	1.77 56.5%
Over 20.5	—	2.00 50.0%
Over 21.5	—	2.25 44.4%
Over 22.5	—	2.65 37.7%
Over 23.5	—	2.95 33.9%
Over 24.5	—	3.10 32.3%
Under 17.5	—	3.15 31.8%
Under 18.5	—	2.40 41.7%
Under 19.5	1.95 51.3%	2.05 48.8%
Under 20.5	—	1.73 57.8%
Under 21.5	—	1.57 63.7%
Under 22.5	—	1.43 69.9%
Under 23.5	—	1.35 74.1%
Under 24.5	—	1.32 75.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Fonbet	Leon
	5.20 19.2%	5.30 18.9%	5.40 18.5%
	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2

2026-07-31 · Elizabetta Kochchiaretto 1:2 Naomi Osaka

2024-03-20 · Elizabetta Kochchiaretto 0:2 Naomi Osaka

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 6 (Betcity) · 2 1.14 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	5.6	1.14
Winline	5.7	1.14
Fonbet	5.6	1.14
Betcity	6	1.13

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Eysy 9

7 Dvoynye oshibki 4

6 Vsego breyk-poyntov 12

4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 5

81 Vyigrannye Points 92

48 Points na podache 53

39 Poteryannye Points na podache 33

56 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 41

24 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 41

33 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 30

15 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 23

7 Maks. ochkov podryad 10

9 Geymy na podache 11

13 Vyigrannye geymy 16

3 Maks. geymov podryad 4

0 Tay-breyk 0

Source: ruscore

Cocciaretto E

W W L L L

2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA

Cocciaretto E Navarro E 1:2 Cocciaretto E

2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA

Cocciaretto E Cocciaretto E 2:1 Tauson C

2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Cocciaretto E Wang Xinyu 2:1 Cocciaretto E

2026-06-22 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain

Cocciaretto E Tomljanovic A 2:1 Cocciaretto E

2026-05-26 2026 French Open, Paris, France

Cocciaretto E Korneeva A 2:0 Cocciaretto E

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Osaka N

W L W W W

2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA

Krueger A 0:1 Osaka N Osaka N

2026-07-07 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Osaka N 0:2 Muchova K Osaka N

2026-07-05 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sabalenka A 0:2 Osaka N Osaka N

2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Kasatkina D 0:2 Osaka N Osaka N

2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Gasanova A 0:2 Osaka N Osaka N

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.4 Sets won

0.4 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCocciaretto E - Osaka N

Cocciaretto E

0 matches total

Osaka N

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2024 Mayami (zh) hard 1-y krug E. Elizabetta Kochcharetto Elizabetta Kochcharetto (Italy) 0 3 4 SR N. Naomi Osaka Naomi Osaka (Japan) 2 6 ; CHAMP('tournamentT