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WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard
30.07.2026 17:15 UTC Match prediction

Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Frech M

Tennis WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard hard 30.07.2026 17:15 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 17:15 UTC Finished
Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Frech M
Frech M
W
2:1
Odds
P1 1.11 87.3% BetBoom
P2 7.60 12.7% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ β€” 84%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ): model 59% Β· market 88% Ξ” βˆ’29 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ✓ Pick84.1%
market88%
2 Β· Frech M15.9%
market12%

Model estimate: win Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 84.1%, win Frech M 15.9%. Model favourite β€” Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Frech M July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 7.60
  • Glicko: Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 84.1% / Frech M 15.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 ✓ Pick 87.6%
2 12.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.14 ↓ 1.08
Winner 2 5.60 ↑ 7.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
7-3WLLWWWLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Frech M
2-8LLLLLLWLLW
scored 0.9conceded 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 17:15 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Frech M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 84.1% fact: home hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.050 / LogLoss 0.173
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.1% fact: home hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.421 / LogLoss 0.614
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 87.0% 84.1% market and model agree
Frech M 13.1% 15.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 84.1% / 15.9% probabilities
Rating 1,837 / 1,645 Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ / Frech M
RD 219 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,399-2,275 / 1,255-2,036 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 15.9%
1 1.08 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 84.1%
Total
Over 17.5 1.57 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 18.5 1.90 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.32 75.8% —
— — 1.55 64.5% —
2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.94 51.6%
— — 2.90 34.5% —
1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% — 1.84 54.4%
— — 3.10 32.3% —
— — 2.30 43.5% —
— — 1.73 57.8% —
— — 1.35 74.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 17.5 — — 1.57 63.7% —
Over 18.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.05 48.8%
Over 19.5 — — 2.20 45.5% —
Over 20.5 — — 2.55 39.2% —
Under 17.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 18.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.75 57.1%
Under 19.5 — — 1.60 62.5% —
Under 20.5 — — 1.45 69.0% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.07 93.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7%
7.40 13.5% 6.60 15.2% 7.60 13.2% 7.00 14.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-0
2026-07-30 Β· Dzhessika Pegula 2:1 Magdalena Fresh
2025-04-17 Β· Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh
2023-04-28 Β· Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh
2021-09-27 Β· Dzhessika Pegula 2:0 Magdalena Fresh
Source: ruscore

Odds Β· 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.12 (Betcity) Β· 2 6.7 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.11 6.7
Winline 1.11 6.5
Fonbet 1.11 6.7
Betcity 1.12 6.2
Source: ruscore Β· line comparison

Match stats

9 Eysy 6
4 Dvoynye oshibki 1
12 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
5 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 2
87 Vyigrannye Points 69
50 Points na podache 41
28 Poteryannye Points na podache 37
48 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 51
31 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 30
31 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 28
19 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 13
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
10 Geymy na podache 7
15 Vyigrannye geymy 9
7 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
W W W L
05.07 10:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Jovic I. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
03.07 10:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Buzas Maneyro Dzh. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΈBuzas Maneyro Dzh. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
01.07 11:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Sorribes-Tormo S. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΈSorribes-Tormo S. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
26.05 16:10 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Pegula Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 1:2 Birrell K. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊBirrell K. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
75% Win percentage
Frech M
W
28.07 19:25 UTC WTA - Singles: Vashington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Frech M 2:0 Li E. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈLi E. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage