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WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard
semi-final 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

Pegula J - Shnaider D

Tennis WTA. Washington. Hard
WTA. Washington. Hard 1/2 finala hard 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC Finished
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC 1/2 finala Finished
Pegula J
Pegula J USA Seed 3
W W L W W
Shnaider D
Shnaider D Russia Seed 18
W W L W L
2:0 7:5 6:4
1 2 GP
Pegula J 7 6 2
Shnaider D 5 4 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.25 76.6% BetBoom
P2 4.10 23.4% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country Russia
- Rating -
32 Age 22
170 Height (cm) 170
70 Weight (kg) 61
- Hand -
C Seed 4
hard Coverage hard
3 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Pegula J
77% 53 / 69
77% 53 / 69
Sintetika
no data
clay
9 iz 12
grass
7 iz 9
hard
37 iz 48
Shnaider D
59% 32 / 54
59% 32 / 54
Sintetika
no data
clay
10 iz 15
grass
1 iz 4
hard
21 iz 35

Head-to-head history

2026
WTA. Washington. Hard
  Pegula J 0
  Shnaider D 0
2024
WTA. Washington. Hard
  Pegula J 0
  Shnaider D 0

Pegula J take on Shnaider D on August 1, 2026 in the WTA. Washington. Hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pegula J 4-0-1, Shnaider D 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 73% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Pegula J — 73%

Pure model vs market (1 · Pegula J): model 48% · market 76% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Pegula J ✓ Pick73.4%
market76%
2 · Shnaider D26.6%
market24%

Model estimate: win Pegula J 73.4%, win Shnaider D 26.6%. Model favourite — Pegula J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pegula J (odds1.39) Score 2:1 confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Pegula Dzh
  • • 🇺🇸 — Shnayder D
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Pegula Dzh
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Shnayder D
  • • (World): forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Model backs Pegula Dzh
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 65% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pegula J - Shnaider D August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pegula J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pegula J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.90
  • Glicko: Pegula J 73.4% / Shnaider D 26.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 ✓ Pick 75.7%
2 24.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.43 ↓ 1.25
Winner 2 2.80 ↑ 3.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pegula J
7-3WLLWWWLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Shnaider D
6-4LWWWWWLLLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Stadium
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 75.7% @ 1.25 / 2 24.3% @ 3.90
Stage 1/2 finala
Coverage hard
Form 7 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Pegula J - Shnaider D

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Dzhessika Pegula - Diana Shnayder, 01 avgusta 2026. Vashington (zh). Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Dzhessika Pegula - Diana Shnayder, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Pegula J Shnaider D Result
Set 0 7 5 7:5
Set 1 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 73.4% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.141 / LogLoss 0.309
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 52.8% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.445 / LogLoss 0.638
Championat

Match flow

Source

2:0 D. Pegula Posle ravnogo nachala partii Diana opyat stala mnogo oshibatsya, a Dzhessika opyat pribavila. Rossiyanke udalos zatsepitsya tolko togda, kogda sopernitsa podavala na match, and odin breyk byl otygran, no so vtoroy popytki amerikanka oformila pobedu and vykhod v Final. 15/27 u Peguly po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam, 16/35 u Shnayder. Dzhessika zavtra sygraet libo s Naomi Osakoy, libo s Aleksandroy Ealoy. A ya, Artem Taymanov, na etom proschayus s vami. Spasibo za vnimanie, esche uvidimsya! 6:4 D. Pegula 🔥 Roskoshneyshiy korotkiy kross sprava vydaet Dzhessika naposledok, probivaya navylet and popadaya pri etom vo vneshniy kray bokovoy linii! . Vtoruyu podachu v setku prinimaet Shnayder. Vtoroy match

22:41 2:0 D. Pegula Posle ravnogo nachala partii Diana opyat stala mnogo oshibatsya, a Dzhessika opyat pribavila. Rossiyanke udalos zatsepitsya tolko togda, kogda sopernitsa podavala na match, and odin breyk byl otygran, no so vtoroy popytki amerikanka oformila pobedu and vykhod v Final. 15/27 u Peguly po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam, 16/35 u Shnayder. Dzhessika zavtra sygraet libo s Naomi Osakoy, libo s Aleksandroy Ealoy. A ya, Artem Taymanov, na etom proschayus s vami. Spasibo za vnimanie, esche uvidimsya!
22:36 6:4 D. Pegula 🔥 Roskoshneyshiy korotkiy kross sprava vydaet Dzhessika naposledok, probivaya navylet and popadaya pri etom vo vneshniy kray bokovoy linii!
40:30 . Vtoruyu podachu v setku prinimaet Shnayder. Vtoroy matchbol dlya Peguly
30:30 . Blestyasche raskladyvaet Diana myach po uglam korta, zavershaya ataku krossom sprava navylet!
30:15 . Otlichnaya podacha
15:15 . Korotko otvetila Shnayder iz oborony, no Pegula ukhitrilas sorvat udar po linii s khafkorta!
22:34 15:0. Khotela probit krossom sleva Diana, no sorvala udar
22:31 5:4 D. Shnayder Sryvaet priem Pegula
40:30 . Otlichnaya podacha po tsentru
30:30 . Ne prokhodit udar sleva po linii u Shnayder
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pegula J 76.3% 73.4% market and model agree
Shnaider D 23.8% 26.6%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.4% / 26.6% probabilities
Rating 1,871 / 1,990 Pegula J / Shnaider D
RD 198 / 135 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,476-2,266 / 1,720-2,259 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 Fonbet · no value · model 26.6%
1 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 73.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.25 80.0%
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.50 66.7%
1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 3.95 25.3%
1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% —
— — 3.60 27.8%
— — 3.30 30.3%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 1.98 50.5%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.32 75.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 19.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6%
Over 22.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 23.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Over 24.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Over 25.5 — — 3.20 31.3%
Under 18.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Under 19.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 21.5 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3%
3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
Match center
Pegula J
W W L W W
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Pegula J Pegula J 2:0 Kalinskaya A
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Pegula J Pegula J 2:1 Frech M
2026-07-07 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Pegula J Pegula J 1:2 Gauff C
2026-07-05 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Pegula J Pegula J 2:1 Jovic I
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Pegula J Pegula J 2:0 Bouzas Maneiro J
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Shnaider D
W W L W L
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Shnaider D 2:0 Samsonova L Shnaider D
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Shnaider D 2:0 Potapova A Shnaider D
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Shnaider D 1:2 Samsonova L Shnaider D
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Shnaider D 2:0 Lys E Shnaider D
2026-06-22 2026 Bad Homburg, Germany
Tauson C 2:0 Shnaider D Shnaider D
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPegula J - Shnaider D

Pegula J
0 matches total
Shnaider D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Charlston clay 1/4 finala 1 D. Dzhessika Pegula Dzhessika Pegula 🇺🇸 2 3 6 7 D. Diana Shnayder Diana Shnayder (Russia) 1 6 3 2
Event
2024 US Open (zh) hard 4-y krug 18 D. Diana Shnayder Diana Shnayder (Russia) 0 4 2 6 D. Dzhessika Pegula Dzhessika Pegula 🇺🇸