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WTA. Washington. Hard

quarter-final 31.07.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

Shnaider D - Samsonova L

Tennis WTA. Washington. Hard

WTA. Washington. Hard 1/4 finala hard 31.07.2026 19:30 UTC Finished

31.07.2026 19:30 UTC 1/4 finala Finished

Shnaider D Russia Seed 18

W L W L L

Samsonova L Russia Seed 70

W W L W W

2:0 6:3 6:4

1 2 GP

Shnaider D 6 6 2

Samsonova L 3 4 0

1 2

Odds

P1 1.81 52.5% BetBoom

P2 2.00 47.5% BetBoom

Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Russia Country Russia

- Rating -

22 Age 27

170 Height (cm) 182

- Weight (kg) -

Levsha Hand Pravsha

4 Seed 2

hard Coverage hard

2 H2H 2

Form over the last year

Shnaider D

58% 30 / 52

58% 30 / 52

Sintetika

no data

clay

10 iz 15

grass

1 iz 4

hard

19 iz 33

Samsonova L

43% 18 / 42

43% 18 / 42

Sintetika

no data

clay

3 iz 9

grass

3 iz 7

hard

12 iz 26

Head-to-head history

2026

WTA. Washington. Hard

Shnaider D 0

Samsonova L 0

2024

WTA. Washington. Hard

Shnaider D 0

Samsonova L 0

Shnaider D take on Samsonova L on July 31, 2026 in the WTA. Washington. Hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shnaider D 2-0-3, Samsonova L 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 53% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Shnaider D — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Shnaider D): model 60% · market 93% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shnaider D53.2%

2 · Samsonova L46.8%

Model estimate: win Shnaider D 53.2%, win Samsonova L 46.8%. Model favourite — Shnaider D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shnaider D (odds1.76) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct

• Shnayder D
• (World) — Samsonova L
• (World) (tennis)
• Shnayder D
• (World): forma VVPVP (3-2)
• Samsonova L
• (World): forma VVVPV (4-1)
• Model backs Shnayder D
• (World): probability 54% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
• no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shnaider D - Samsonova L July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shnaider D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shnaider D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 13.00
Glicko: Shnaider D 53.2% / Samsonova L 46.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%

1 92.7%

2 7.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins0

2.0Average score0.5

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 2.5 (goals)

Team form

Shnaider D

6-4LWWWWWLLLW

scored 1.3conceded 1.0

Samsonova L

4-6WLLLLLWLWW

scored 1.1conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa

Start 31.07.2026 19:30 UTC

Market 1 92.7% @ 1.02 / 2 7.3% @ 13.00

Stage 1/4 finala

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 2

Match center

Shnaider D - Samsonova L

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Diana Shnayder - Lyudmila Samsonova, 31 iyulya 2026. Vashington (zh). Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Diana Shnayder - Lyudmila Samsonova, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Shnaider D Samsonova L Result

Set 0 6 3 6:3

Set 1 6 4 6:4

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 53.2% fact: home hit / ROI 81.0% / Brier 0.438 / LogLoss 0.631

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 50.4% fact: home hit / ROI 81.0% / Brier 0.492 / LogLoss 0.686

Championat

Match flow

Source

2:0 D. Shnayder Etot poedinok opredelenno poluchilsya by bolee napryazhennym, esli by Lyudmila ne darila sopernitse tak mnogo myachey svoimi netochnostyami. 10/18 u Shnayder po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam, 18/49 u Samsonovoy. Smogla Lyudmila sdelat obratnyy breyk v etoy partii, v otlichie ot pervogo sets, no tut zhe snova otdala svoyu podachu — and eto preimuschestvo Diana uzhe uderzhala do kontsa poedinka. V polufinale Shnayder sygraet s Dzhessikoy Peguloy, kotoraya ranee vybila Annu Kalinskuyu v svoem chetvertfinalnom matche. A ya, Artem Taymanov, na etom proschayus s vami. Spasibo za vnimanie, esche uvidimsya! V etot raz Shnayder deystvovala chische and za schet etogo dobilas Wins Shnayder vzyala rossiyskoe derbi v

01:15 2:0 D. Shnayder Etot poedinok opredelenno poluchilsya by bolee napryazhennym, esli by Lyudmila ne darila sopernitse tak mnogo myachey svoimi netochnostyami. 10/18 u Shnayder po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam, 18/49 u Samsonovoy. Smogla Lyudmila sdelat obratnyy breyk v etoy partii, v otlichie ot pervogo sets, no tut zhe snova otdala svoyu podachu — and eto preimuschestvo Diana uzhe uderzhala do kontsa poedinka. V polufinale Shnayder sygraet s Dzhessikoy Peguloy, kotoraya ranee vybila Annu Kalinskuyu v svoem chetvertfinalnom matche. A ya, Artem Taymanov, na etom proschayus s vami. Spasibo za vnimanie, esche uvidimsya! V etot raz Shnayder deystvovala chische and za schet etogo dobilas Wins Shnayder vzyala rossiyskoe derbi v

01:11 6:4 D. Shnayder Ochen plotno and gluboko podala Diana — Lyudmila ne smogla prinyat v court

40:15 . Napryazhennaya perestrelka na zadney linii zavyazalas, and v itoge Lyudmila prostrelila otlichnym korotkim krossom sleva navylet!

01:11 40:0. Sryvaet priem s forkhenda Samsonova. Eto troynoy matchbol

01:10 30:0. Zdorovo perevodit Diana myach sleva na liniyu iz ugla korta — Lyudmila tolkom ne uspevaet za etim udarom

01:10 15:0. Plotnaya perestrelka na zadney linii zakanchivaetsya vynuzhdennoy oshibkoy Samsonovoy s bekkhenda

01:09 Itak, na match podaet Shnayder!

01:07 5:4 L. Samsonova Sryvaet Diana priem plotnoy podachi v korpus

40:30 . Ne prokhodit u Samsonovoy perevod sprava na liniyu

40:15 . Krasivo atakuet Lyudmila, zavershaya rozygrysh otlichnym krossom v ugol korta

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Shnaider D 52.5% 53.2% market and model agree

Samsonova L 47.5% 46.8%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 53.2% / 46.8% probabilities

Rating 1,960 / 1,758 Shnaider D / Samsonova L

RD 148 / 151 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,664-2,256 / 1,456-2,061 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.98 market consensus · no value · model 46.8%

1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 53.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Over 18.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.83 54.6%	—	1.63 61.4%
1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	1.63 61.4%
—	—	1.01 99.0%
1.91 52.4%	—	1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%	1.81 55.3%	—
—	—	2.15 46.5%
—	—	2.15 46.5%
—	—	11.00 9.1%
—	—	11.00 9.1%
—	—	7.30 13.7%
—	—	1.22 82.0%
—	—	1.15 87.0%
—	—	1.18 84.8%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 17.5	—	—	1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5	—	—	1.20 83.3%
Over 19.5	—	—	5.80 17.2%
Over 20.5	—	—	1.72 58.1%
Over 21.5	1.75 57.1%	1.79 55.9%	6.90 14.5%
Over 22.5	1.99 50.3%	2.00 50.0%	10.50 9.5%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5	—	—	2.10 47.6%
Under 17.5	—	—	3.20 31.3%
Under 18.5	—	—	4.20 23.8%
Under 21.5	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	—
Under 22.5	1.76 56.8%	1.81 55.3%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.78 56.2%	1.81 55.3%	1.02 98.0%	1.80 55.6%
	1.97 50.8%	2.00 50.0%	13.00 7.7%	1.98 50.5%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-1

2026-07-31 · Diana Shnayder 2:0 Lyudmila Samsonova

2026-07-02 · Diana Shnayder 1:2 Lyudmila Samsonova

2024-08-11 · Diana Shnayder 2:1 Lyudmila Samsonova

2024-05-09 · Diana Shnayder 2:0 Lyudmila Samsonova

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.8 (Pari) · 2 2.05 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	1.8	2.02
Winline	1.75	2.05
Fonbet	1.8	2.02
Betcity	1.79	2.02

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 4

1 Dvoynye oshibki 4

5 Vsego breyk-poyntov 5

3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 1

69 Vyigrannye Points 53

40 Points na podache 36

17 Poteryannye Points na podache 29

39 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 33

17 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 28

29 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 22

11 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 14

6 Maks. ochkov podryad 5

9 Geymy na podache 6

12 Vyigrannye geymy 7

3 Maks. geymov podryad 2

0 Tay-breyk 0

Source: ruscore

Shnaider D

W L W L L

2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA

Shnaider D Shnaider D 2:0 Potapova A

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Shnaider D Shnaider D 1:2 Samsonova L

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Shnaider D Shnaider D 2:0 Lys E

2026-06-22 2026 Bad Homburg, Germany

Shnaider D Tauson C 2:0 Shnaider D

2026-06-15 2026 Berlin, Germany

Shnaider D Bartunkova N 2:1 Shnaider D

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Samsonova L

W W L W W

2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA

Wang Xinyu 0:2 Samsonova L Samsonova L

2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA

Samsonova L 2:1 Keys M Samsonova L

2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Samsonova L 1:2 Bouzkova M Samsonova L

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Shnaider D 1:2 Samsonova L Samsonova L

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Kudermetova P 0:2 Samsonova L Samsonova L

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyShnaider D - Samsonova L

Shnaider D

1 matches total

Samsonova L

Shnaider D: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Samsonova L: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Samsonova L 1:2 (2026-07-02) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 2026-07-02) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Shnaider D 1:2 Samsonova L