Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Errani S / Melichar N — 77%
Pure model vs market (1 · Errani S / Melichar N): model 56% · market 58% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Errani S / Melichar N 76.8%, win Klepac A / Ninomiya M 23.2%. Model favourite — Errani S / Melichar N.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Errani S / Melichar N.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Sara Errani / Nikol Melikar-Martines - Andreya Klepach / Makoto Ninomiya. Vashington — Doubles (zh). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| — | 1.09 91.7% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | 5.10 19.6% | |
| — | 3.65 27.4% | |
| — | 2.60 38.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | 5.60 17.9% | |
| — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | 1.11 90.1% | |
| — | 1.25 80.0% | |
| — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 15.5 | — | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 16.5 | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 17.5 | — | 3.30 30.3% |
| Over 18.5 | — | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 19.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 20.5 | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 21.5 | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 29.5 | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 30.5 | — | 3.30 30.3% |
| Over 31.5 | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 32.5 | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 33.5 | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 34.5 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 35.5 | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 36.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Under 19.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.19 84.0% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.17 85.5% | |
| 4.30 23.3% | 4.80 20.8% | 2.20 45.5% | 4.20 23.8% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.16 | 4.5 |
| Winline | 1.21 | 4.4 |
| Fonbet | 1.16 | 4.5 |
| Betcity | 1.16 | 4.8 |
Errani S / Melichar N
Klepac A / Ninomiya M
Full head-to-head historyErrani S / Melichar N - Klepac A / Ninomiya M
The Errani S / Melichar N - Klepac A / Ninomiya M breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.