WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
05.07.2026 12:30 UTC 4 round
Finished

WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass

Sobolenko A. (World) - Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅

Tennis
Sobolenko A. (World)
Sobolenko A. (World)
0 : 2
2:6 6:7
Finished
Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Sobolenko A. (World) β€” 65%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sobolenko A. (World) - Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ July 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.05 / 2 1.38

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 31.2%
2 68.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

5Wins1
1.8Average score0.7

Head-to-head matches: 6 Β· average total 2.5 (goals)

Team form

Sobolenko A. (World)
8-2WWWLWWLWWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.5
Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
9-1WWLWWWWWWW
scored 1.8conceded 0.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Form and head-to-head β€’ Wimbledon - Women - Round of 16

Team stats

Sobolenko A. (World)
WWWLWWLWWW
W 8 β€’ D 0 β€’ L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.8 : 0.5
Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
WLWWWWLWWW
W 8 β€’ D 0 β€’ L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 0.4
Head-to-head: 4 β€” Sobolenko A. (World) 3, draws 0, Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ 1 (goals 7:3)
  • Aryna Sabalenka β€” Naomi Osaka2026-06-01 2:0
  • Aryna Sabalenka β€” Naomi Osaka2026-04-27 2:1
  • Aryna Sabalenka β€” Naomi Osaka2026-03-10 2:0
  • Aryna Sabalenka β€” Naomi Osaka2018-09-03 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Sobolenko A.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 4
  • Rest: 2 days
Osaka N.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 4
  • Rest: 2 days

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Sobolenko A. (World)
No main-tour data
Osaka N.
14–6 (70% over last 20)
  • Hard: 2–3
  • Clay: 7–3
  • Grass: 5–0

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Vseangliyskiy klub laun-tennisa i kroketa. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 05.07.2026 12:30 UTC
Match center

Sobolenko A. (World) - Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Arina Sobolenko - Naomi Osaka, 05 iyulya 2026. Uimbldon (zh). Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Arina Sobolenko - Naomi Osaka, kto pobedil.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Championat

Match flow

Source

Arina nichem segodnya ne dovolna, no sdelala vse chto mogla, prosto urovnya Games sovsem ne bylo Β«Ya oblazhalas. Khochu khoroshenko napitsyaΒ». Sobolenko β€” posle vyleta s Uimbldona 0:2 N. Osaka Naomi Osaka vykhodit v quarter-final, sensatsionno at 1 chas 27 minut v dvukh partiyakh obygrav pervuyu seyanuyu Arinu Sobolenko, β€” 6:2, 7:6 (7:2). Vo vtorom sete borba byla lish v pyatom geyme na podache beloruski, gde zarabotala dva breyk-poynta yaponka, no ne smogla ikh realizovat. V rezultate delo logichno doshlo do tay-breyka, gde Osaka, proigrav pervyy rozygrysh, zatem zabrala shest ochkov podryad and so vtorogo matchbola sumela zavershit vstrechu. Po udaram navylet/nevynuzhdennym oshibkam 26/32 u Naomi, 26/29 u Ariny. Za vykhod

00:28 Arina nichem segodnya ne dovolna, no sdelala vse chto mogla, prosto urovnya Games sovsem ne bylo Β«Ya oblazhalas. Khochu khoroshenko napitsyaΒ». Sobolenko β€” posle vyleta s Uimbldona
21:02 0:2 N. Osaka Naomi Osaka vykhodit v quarter-final, sensatsionno at 1 chas 27 minut v dvukh partiyakh obygrav pervuyu seyanuyu Arinu Sobolenko, β€” 6:2, 7:6 (7:2). Vo vtorom sete borba byla lish v pyatom geyme na podache beloruski, gde zarabotala dva breyk-poynta yaponka, no ne smogla ikh realizovat. V rezultate delo logichno doshlo do tay-breyka, gde Osaka, proigrav pervyy rozygrysh, zatem zabrala shest ochkov podryad and so vtorogo matchbola sumela zavershit vstrechu. Po udaram navylet/nevynuzhdennym oshibkam 26/32 u Naomi, 26/29 u Ariny. Za vykhod v Semi-final Osaka posporit s cheshkoy Karolinoy Mukhovoy. Na etom nasha translyatsiya zavershena. Vsego khoroshego! Arina vpervye s 2019-go ne popala v vosmerku silneyshikh na travya
21:02 6:7 N. Osaka 2:7. I vse na etom! Atakuet sprava po linii s priema Osaka, a Arina otvechaet v setku!
21:02 2:6. Odin otygryvaet Sobolenko
21:01 1:6. I snova ne popadaet po dline beloruska. Pyaternoy matchbol u yaponki!
21:00 1:5. I na perekhod devushki ukhodyat s ogromnym preimuschestvom Osaki!
20:59 1:4. I esche odnu svoyu podachu sledom otdaet Arina
20:59 1:3. Mini-breyk oformlyaet yaponka posle oshibki Sobolenko po dline
20:58 1:2. I uzhe vykhodit vpered Naomi!
20:58 1. Sravnivaet schet Osaka
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 Fonbet Β· line only
1 3.05 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 1.73 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 20.5 1.45 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.45 69.0%
1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.35 74.1%
1.48 67.6%
2.50 40.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.65 60.6%
2.15 46.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.65 60.6%
1.23 81.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 16.00 6.3%
Over 22.5 1.96 51.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.83 54.6%
Over 23.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 24.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 25.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 26.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 27.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 28.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 21.5 1.98 50.5% 1.96 51.0%
Under 22.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.43 69.9% 1.48 67.6% 3.05 32.8% 1.41 70.9%
2.83 35.3% 2.65 37.7% 1.38 72.5% 2.85 35.1%
Match center
Sobolenko A. (World)
W W
03.07 12:30 UTC WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sobolenko A. (World) 2:0 Ostapenko E. πŸ‡±πŸ‡»Ostapenko E. πŸ‡±πŸ‡»
01.07 10:00 UTC WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sobolenko A. (World) 2:0 Kessler M. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈKessler M. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
W W
03.07 10:00 UTC WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ 2:0 Kasatkina D. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊKasatkina D. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί
01.07 08:00 UTC WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Osaka N. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ 2:0 Gasanova A. (World)Gasanova A. (World)
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage