WTA - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sobolenko A. (World) - Osaka N. 🇯🇵
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Sobolenko A. (World) — 65%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sobolenko A. (World) - Osaka N. 🇯🇵 July 5, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.05 / 2 1.38
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Form and head-to-head • Wimbledon - Women - Round of 16
Team stats
- Aryna Sabalenka — Naomi Osaka2026-06-01 2:0
- Aryna Sabalenka — Naomi Osaka2026-04-27 2:1
- Aryna Sabalenka — Naomi Osaka2026-03-10 2:0
- Aryna Sabalenka — Naomi Osaka2018-09-03 1:2
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Match workload
Fatigue and schedule
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
- Sets in 7 days: 4
- Rest: 2 days
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
- Sets in 7 days: 4
- Rest: 2 days
Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.
Form and surface
Recent matches
- Hard: 2–3
- Clay: 7–3
- Grass: 5–0
Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.
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Sobolenko A. (World) - Osaka N. 🇯🇵
Итоговый протокол and результаты теннисного matches Арина Соболенко - Наоми Осака, 05 июля 2026. Уимблдон (ж). Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Арина Соболенко - Наоми Осака, кто победил.
Арина ничем сегодня не довольна, но сделала всё что могла, просто уровня игры совсем не было «Я облажалась. Хочу хорошенько напиться». Соболенко — после вылета с Уимблдона 0:2 Н. Осака Наоми Осака выходит в quarter-final, сенсационно at 1 час 27 минут в двух партиях обыграв первую сеяную Арину Соболенко, — 6:2, 7:6 (7:2). Во втором сете борьба была лишь в пятом гейме на подаче белоруски, где заработала два брейк-пойнта японка, но не смогла их реализовать. В результате дело логично дошло до тай-брейка, где Осака, проиграв первый розыгрыш, затем забрала шесть очков подряд and со второго матчбола сумела завершить встречу. По ударам навылет/невынужденным ошибкам 26/32 у Наоми, 26/29 у Арины. За выход
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | 2.05 48.8% | — | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 1.25 80.0% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.35 74.1% | |
| — | — | 1.48 67.6% | |
| — | — | 2.50 40.0% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | — | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | — | 1.70 58.8% | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 20.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.84 54.4% | 16.00 6.3% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.96 51.0% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 25.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 26.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 27.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 28.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.98 50.5% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Under 22.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.43 69.9% | 1.48 67.6% | 3.05 32.8% | 1.41 70.9% | |
| 2.83 35.3% | 2.65 37.7% | 1.38 72.5% | 2.85 35.1% |
Sobolenko A. (World)
Ostapenko E. 🇱🇻
Kessler M. 🇺🇸
Osaka N. 🇯🇵
Kasatkina D. 🇦🇺
Gasanova A. (World)
Full head-to-head historySobolenko A. (World) - Osaka N. 🇯🇵