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WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
3rd round 07.08.2026 19:00 UTC

Joint M - Samsonova L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles 3rd round hard 07.08.2026 19:00 UTC Not started
07.08.2026 19:00 UTC 3rd round Not started
Joint M
Joint M Australia
Rank #75 Elo 956
33Bad Form
W W W L W L W W
Samsonova L
Samsonova L Russia
Rank #55 Elo 1068
44Struggling Form
L W L W L W L W
-:-
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Joint M Samsonova L
Win % 58.3% 55.3%
Hard % 58.2% 55.8%
Clay % 60.7% 48.4%
Grass % 53.8% 62%
Deciding set % 56.5% 46%
Tie-breaks % 60% 47%
Titles (total) 2 5
Last 10 WWLWLWLWLL WWLWWLWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Australia Country Russia
#75 Rating #55
20 Age 27
167 Height (cm) 182
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
Q Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Serve and return stats

Joint M Samsonova L
Aces per match 1.96 3.16
Double faults per match 3.54 4.9
Breaks per match 2.25 3.82

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Joint M
45% 20 / 44
45% 20 / 44
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 3
grass
1 iz 4
hard
19 iz 37
Samsonova L
44% 20 / 45
44% 20 / 45
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 9
grass
3 iz 7
hard
14 iz 29

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Maya Joint
Rank:75 Elo: 956
W W W L W L W W
Liudmila Samsonova
Rank:55 Elo: 1068
L W L W L W L W
Elo favourite:Samsonova L (edge +112 Elo)

Hard

Maya JointLiudmila Samsonova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 40.0% 6 / 15 Matches 47.1% 8 / 17 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 18 / 36 Matches 48.3% 14 / 29 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.60 2.94
Most Aces in a match 13 % 41 %

Clay

Maya JointLiudmila Samsonova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 20.0% 1 / 5 Matches 37.5% 3 / 8 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 20.0% 1 / 5 Matches 37.5% 3 / 8 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.00 1.88
Most Aces in a match 20 % 50 %

Grass

Maya JointLiudmila Samsonova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.50 5.50
Most Aces in a match 75 % 83 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova
H2H wins 0 (0.0%) 1 (100.0%)
Sets 0 (0.0%) 2 (100.0%)
Wins this year 33.3% 8 / 24 Matches 43.8% 14 / 32 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 44.4% 20 / 45 Matches 45.5% 20 / 44 Matches
Current rank 75 55

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova
Prize money (career) $298,049 USD $5,847,447 USD
Rating 75 55
Age 20 27
Height — 1.82m

Win percentage (match / set)

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova
Match Wins 33 % 44 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 33 % 45 %
Wins in Straight Sets 17 % 38 %
Wins From Behind 11 % 5 %
Won At Least 1 Set 58 % 75 %
Set 1 Win 46 % 63 %
Set 2 Win 30 % 50 %
Set 3 Win 40 % 17 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jul 1 2025 Wimbledon WTA (Grass) Maya Joint 0 – 2 Liudmila Samsonova

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.5 9.19 9.35
Over 6.5 92 % 94 % 93 %
Over 7.5 79 % 87 % 83 %
Over 8.5 75 % 71 % 73 %
Over 9.5 54 % 39 % 47 %
Over 10.5 25 % 16 % 21 %
Over 11.5 25 % 16 % 21 %

Aces

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova Match total
Aces Per Match 1.96 3.16 5.12
Most Aces in a match 25 % 52 % N/A
1+ 63 % 90 % 94 %
2+ 42 % 68 % 77 %
3+ 33 % 52 % 72 %
4+ 21 % 39 % 66 %
5+ 13 % 29 % 59 %

Breaks

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.25 3.82 6.07
Over 0.5 54 % 100 % 79 %
Over 1.5 54 % 100 % 79 %
Over 2.5 8 % 97 % 79 %
Over 3.5 4 % 58 % 79 %
Over 4.5 0 % 52 % 76 %
Over 5.5 0 % 45 % 76 %

Tie-breaks

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.25 0.16 0.21
Over 0.5 25 % 16 % 21 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 75 % 84 % 21 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.54 4.9 8.44
Over 0.5 (1+) 83 % 94 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 75 % 87 % 98 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 71 % 84 % 98 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 46 % 71 % 91 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 29 % 52 % 84 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 17 % 39 % 74 %

Net points

Maya Joint Liudmila Samsonova Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.88 9.3 16.18
Over 4.5 (5+) 75 % 60 % 68 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 50 % 60 % 55 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 25 % 60 % 43 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 25 % 60 % 43 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 25 % 60 % 43 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 25 % 40 % 33 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 3.00 32.3% BetBoom
P2 1.43 67.7% BetBoom

Joint M meet Samsonova L on August 7, 2026 in the WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles.

Recent form (W-D-L): Joint M 4-0-1, Samsonova L 4-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Samsonova L — 66%

Pure model vs market (2 · Samsonova L): model 57% · market 67% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Joint M34.0%
market33%
2 · Samsonova L ✓ Pick66.0%
market67%

Model estimate: win Joint M 34.0%, win Samsonova L 66.0%. Model favourite — Samsonova L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Samsonova L (odds1.41) Score 1:2 confidence 67%
  • • Dzhoynt M
  • • 🇦🇺 — Samsonova L
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Dzhoynt M
  • • 🇦🇺: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Samsonova L
  • • (World): forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.45→1.40 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Samsonova L
  • • (World): probability 67% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Joint M - Samsonova L August 7, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samsonova L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 6 books
1 33.1%
2 ✓ Pick 66.9%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.75 ↑ 3.00
Winner P2 1.45 ↓ 1.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Joint M
33%
3.00
Samsonova L
67%
1.43
Total
Over 16.5
51%
1.82
Under 16.5
49%
1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
0.0Average score2.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 2.0 (goals)

Team form

Joint M
6-4LWLWLWLWWW
scored 1.5conceded 1.2
Samsonova L
7-3WLWWLWWLWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter.
Start 07.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 31.8% @ 3.00 / 2 68.2% @ 1.40
Stage 3-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Samsonova L 66%
💹 Market Samsonova L 67%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Joint M - Samsonova L

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Mayya Dzhoynt - Lyudmila Samsonova. Toronto. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Joint M 33.1% 38.8% market and model agree
Samsonova L 66.9% 61.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko34.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.32).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 34.0% / 66.0% probabilities
Rating 1,659 / 1,963 Joint M / Samsonova L
RD 166 / 147 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,327-1,990 / 1,669-2,257 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 66.0%
1 3.00 Fonbet · no value · model 34.0%
Total
Over 0.5 3.25 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 2.60 38.5% —
— — 2.35 42.6% —
2.07 48.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.70 58.8% —
— — 1.45 69.0% —
— — 1.53 65.4% —
— — 1.73 57.8% —
— — 2.02 49.5% —
1.74 57.5% 1.83 54.6% — 1.79 55.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.78 56.2%
4.60 21.7%
1.16 86.2%
1.98 50.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM
Over 0.5 — — — 3.25 30.8%
Over 10.5 — — — 3.75 26.7%
Over 12.5 — — — 6.00 16.7%
Over 16.5 — — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 19.5 — — 1.57 63.7% —
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% — 1.82 55.0% —
Over 21.5 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% —
Over 22.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 19.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 1.98 50.5% — 2.00 50.0% —
Under 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% —
Under 22.5 — — 1.57 63.7% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.60 38.5%
Under 2.5 1.45 69.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2025-07-01 · Mayya Dzhoynt 0:2 Lyudmila Samsonova
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.9 (Betcity) · 2 1.43 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.8 1.43
Winline 2.8 1.43
Fonbet 2.8 1.43
Betcity 2.9 1.41
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Joint M
W W W L W
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Joint M Cirstea S 0:2 Joint M
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Joint M Starodubtseva Y 1:2 Joint M
2026-08-01 2026 Toronto, Canada, Qualifying
Joint M Joint M 2:1 Grubor A
2026-07-30 2026 Memphis, USA
Joint M Liutova K 2:1 Joint M
2026-07-27 2026 Memphis, USA
Joint M Joint M 2:0 Osuigwe W
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Samsonova L
W W L W W
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Samsonova L 2:0 Krejcikova B Samsonova L
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Tjen J 0:2 Samsonova L Samsonova L
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Shnaider D 2:0 Samsonova L Samsonova L
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Wang Xinyu 0:2 Samsonova L Samsonova L
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Samsonova L 2:1 Keys M Samsonova L
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJoint M - Samsonova L

Joint M
0 matches total
Samsonova L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Uimbldon (zh) grass 1-y krug M. Mayya Dzhoynt Mayya Dzhoynt (Australia) 0 3 2 19 L. Lyudmila Samsonova Lyudmila Samsonova (Russia) 2 6 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'