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WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
3rd round 07.08.2026 16:35 UTC

Li A - Rybakina E

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles
WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles 3rd round hard 07.08.2026 16:35 UTC Not started
07.08.2026 16:35 UTC 3rd round Not started
Li A
Li A USA
Rank #31 Elo 1541
49Struggling Form
W L L W L L L W
Rybakina E
Rybakina E Kazakhstan
Rank #2 Elo 8056
76Good Form
W L L L W W L W
-:-
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Li A Rybakina E
Win % 50% 70.1%
Hard % 50% 69.5%
Clay % 0% 71.9%
Grass % 0% 69.8%
Deciding set % 0% 57.6%
Tie-breaks % 0% 54%
Titles (total) 0 13
Last 10 LW WLWWLLWLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

USA Country Kazakhstan
#31 Rating #2
26 Age 27
170 Height (cm) 184
56kg Weight (kg) 72kg
Right Hand Right
28 Seed 2
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Li A Rybakina E
Aces per match 5.17 6.42
Double faults per match 2.51 2.72
Breaks per match 3.19 3.74

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Li A
55% 32 / 58
55% 32 / 58
Sintetika
no data
clay
9 iz 15
grass
2 iz 5
hard
21 iz 38
Rybakina E
75% 56 / 75
75% 56 / 75
Sintetika
no data
clay
10 iz 13
grass
3 iz 6
hard
43 iz 56

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Ann Li
Rank:31 Elo: 1541
W L L W L L L W
Elena Rybakina
Rank:2 Elo: 8056
W L L L W W L W
Elo favourite:Rybakina E (edge +6515 Elo)

Hard

Ann LiElena Rybakina
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 41.2% 7 / 17 Matches 84.6% 22 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 54.3% 19 / 35 Matches 82.7% 43 / 52 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.44 7.23
Most Aces in a match 69 % 73 %

Clay

Ann LiElena Rybakina
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 57.1% 8 / 14 Matches 76.9% 10 / 13 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 57.1% 8 / 14 Matches 76.9% 10 / 13 Matches
Aces Per Match 4.29 5.17
Most Aces in a match 86 % 83 %

Grass

Ann LiElena Rybakina
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches
Aces Per Match 10.00 5.20
Most Aces in a match 80 % 60 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Ann Li Elena Rybakina
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 48.7% 18 / 37 Matches 76.1% 35 / 46 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 56.1% 32 / 57 Matches 77.8% 56 / 72 Matches
Current rank 31 2

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Ann Li Elena Rybakina
Prize money (career) $1,907,505 USD $15,049,990 USD
Rating 31 2
Age 26 27
Height 1.70m 1.84m
Weight 56kg 72kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Ann Li Elena Rybakina
Match Wins 49 % 76 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 47 % 80 %
Wins in Straight Sets 19 % 54 %
Wins From Behind 27 % 35 %
Won At Least 1 Set 73 % 91 %
Set 1 Win 35 % 72 %
Set 2 Win 57 % 74 %
Set 3 Win 55 % 59 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

Toronto

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Ann Li Elena Rybakina Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.59 9.87 9.73
Over 6.5 97 % 98 % 98 %
Over 7.5 83 % 89 % 86 %
Over 8.5 72 % 73 % 73 %
Over 9.5 47 % 52 % 50 %
Over 10.5 19 % 27 % 23 %
Over 11.5 19 % 27 % 23 %

Aces

Ann Li Elena Rybakina Match total
Aces Per Match 5.17 6.42 11.59
Most Aces in a match 77 % 74 % N/A
1+ 91 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 77 % 91 % 96 %
3+ 69 % 81 % 92 %
4+ 57 % 74 % 83 %
5+ 49 % 70 % 76 %

Breaks

Ann Li Elena Rybakina Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.19 3.74 6.93
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 94 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 91 % 95 % 99 %
Over 3.5 6 % 93 % 96 %
Over 4.5 3 % 51 % 81 %
Over 5.5 3 % 0 % 75 %

Tie-breaks

Ann Li Elena Rybakina Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.28 0.23 0.25
Over 0.5 28 % 20 % 24 %
Over 1.5 0 % 2 % 1 %
Under 0.5 72 % 80 % 24 %
Under 1.5 100 % 98 % 1 %

Double faults

Ann Li Elena Rybakina Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.51 2.72 5.23
Over 0.5 (1+) 91 % 81 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 69 % 56 % 91 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 54 % 42 % 83 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 26 % 28 % 75 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 9 % 21 % 67 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 3 % 14 % 53 %

Net points

Ann Li Elena Rybakina Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.6 6.75 13.35
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % 92 % 96 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 60 % 92 % 76 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 60 % 67 % 64 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 40 % 58 % 49 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 42 % 21 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 42 % 21 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 5.70 16.8% BetBoom
P2 1.15 83.2% BetBoom

Li A face Rybakina E on August 7, 2026 in the WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles.

Recent form (W-D-L): Li A 2-0-3, Rybakina E 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Rybakina E — 80%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rybakina E): model 54% · market 82% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Li A20.2%
market18%
2 · Rybakina E ✓ Pick79.8%
market82%

Model estimate: win Li A 20.2%, win Rybakina E 79.8%. Model favourite — Rybakina E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Li A - Rybakina E August 7, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rybakina E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.20 / 2 1.16

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 6 books
1 18.2%
2 ✓ Pick 81.8%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 4.30 ↑ 5.50
Winner P2 1.22 ↓ 1.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Li A
18%
5.30
Rybakina E
82%
1.16
Total
Over 12.5
49%
1.87
Under 12.5
51%
1.83

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Li A
4-6LWWLLLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4
Rybakina E
5-5LWLWLLWWLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter.
Start 07.08.2026 16:35 UTC
Market 1 18.2% @ 5.20 / 2 81.8% @ 1.16
Stage 3-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Rybakina E 80%
💹 Market Rybakina E 82%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Li A - Rybakina E

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Enn Li - Elena Rybakina. Toronto. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Li A 17.3% 18.6% market and model agree
Rybakina E 82.7% 81.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko20.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.31).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 20.2% / 79.8% probabilities
Rating 1,560 / 1,727 Li A / Rybakina E
RD 157 / 149 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,246-1,874 / 1,430-2,024 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 79.8%
1 5.20 Fonbet · no value · model 20.2%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.15 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 4.70 21.3%
— — 4.20 23.8%
— — 3.60 27.8%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 2.20 45.5%
1.72 58.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.15 87.0%
— — 1.19 84.0%
— — 1.25 80.0%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 2.08 48.1%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 4.60 21.7%
2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.50 40.0%
8.00 12.5%
1.05 95.2%
1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 19.5 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8%
Over 20.5 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.03 49.3%
Over 21.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 22.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Over 24.5 — — 3.05 32.8%
Under 17.5 — — 3.20 31.3%
Under 18.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Under 19.5 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% —
Under 20.5 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 5.8 (Betcity) · 2 1.2 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 5.6 1.14
Winline 4.5 1.2
Fonbet 5.6 1.14
Betcity 5.8 1.14
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Li A
W L L W L
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Li A Li A 2:0 Cross K
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Li A Frech M 2:0 Li A
2026-07-16 2026 Athens, Greece
Li A Korneeva A 2:0 Li A
2026-07-14 2026 Athens, Greece
Li A Timofeeva M 0:2 Li A
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Li A Li A 1:2 Sonmez Z
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Rybakina E
W L W W L
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Kasatkina D 1:2 Rybakina E Rybakina E
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Mertens E 2:0 Rybakina E Rybakina E
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
McNally C 0:2 Rybakina E Rybakina E
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Boisson L 1:2 Rybakina E Rybakina E
2026-06-18 2026 Berlin, Germany
Eala A 2:0 Rybakina E Rybakina E
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLi A - Rybakina E

Li A
0 matches total
Rybakina E
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Toronto