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WTA. Toronto. Pary
WTA. Toronto. Pary International
1st round 06.08.2026 22:15 UTC Match prediction

Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah - Mertens E / Shnaider D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA. Toronto. Pary
WTA. Toronto. Pary 1st round hard 06.08.2026 22:15 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 22:15 UTC 1st round Finished
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah Canada
L L L W W
Mertens E / Shnaider D
Mertens E / Shnaider D Canada
0:2 1:6 2:6
1 2 GP
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah 1 2 0
Mertens E / Shnaider D 6 6 2
1 2
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Pervyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego) — pair

Fernandes B-Dzh / Fernandes Leyla Mertens E / Shnayder D
Win % 33.3% 50%
Hard % 33.3% 50%
Clay % 0% 0%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 100% 50%
Tie-breaks % 0% 0%
Titles (total) 0 0
Last 10 LLW LW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Canada Country Canada
- Rating -
22 / 23 Age 30 /
22 165 / 168 Height (cm) 179 /
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
C Seed 6
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 2

Head-to-head history

0
Toronto — Doubles
Odds
P1 8.00 12.0% BetBoom
P2 1.09 88.0% BetBoom

Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah face Mertens E / Shnaider D on August 6, 2026 in the WTA. Toronto. Pary, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 17% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mertens E / Shnaider D — 83%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mertens E / Shnaider D): model 48% · market 90% Δ −42 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah16.5%
market10%
2 · Mertens E / Shnaider D ✓ Pick83.5%
market90%

Model estimate: win Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah 16.5%, win Mertens E / Shnaider D 83.5%. Model favourite — Mertens E / Shnaider D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah - Mertens E / Shnaider D August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mertens E / Shnaider D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mertens E / Shnaider D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.50 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah 16.5% / Mertens E / Shnaider D 83.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.5% 2 books · best price +3.8%
1 10.5%
2 ✓ Pick 89.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 8.00 → 8.00
Winner 2 1.05 → 1.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah
14%
12.50
Mertens E / Shnaider D
86%
1.09

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah
4-6LWLLWWWLLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.4
Mertens E / Shnaider D

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter. Pervyy kort
Start 06.08.2026 22:15 UTC
Market 1 7.5% @ 12.50 / 2 92.5% @ 1.01
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
H2H 2
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Mertens E / Shnaider D 83%
💹 Market Mertens E / Shnaider D 90%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah - Mertens E / Shnaider D

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Byanka Fernandes / Leyla Fernandes - Elise Mertens / Diana Shnayder, 07 avgusta 2026. Toronto — Doubles. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Byanka Fernandes / Leyla Fernandes - Elise Mertens / Diana Shnayder, kto pobedil.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah Mertens E / Shnaider D Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 2 6 2:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 83.5% fact: away hit / ROI 9.0% / Brier 0.055 / LogLoss 0.181
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 54.0% fact: away hit / ROI 9.0% / Brier 0.423 / LogLoss 0.616
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah 12.5% 16.5%
Mertens E / Shnaider D 87.5% 83.5% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 16.5% / 83.5% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah / Mertens E / Shnaider D
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 83.5%
1 7.00 market consensus · no value · model 16.5%
Total
Over 14.5 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 4.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.90 34.5%
2.60 38.5%
10.50 9.5%
7.30 13.7%
4.90 20.4%
1.23 81.3%
1.35 74.1%
1.43 69.9%
1.01 99.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.12 89.3%
3.75 26.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Kambi Unibet
Over 2.5 — 3.65 27.4%
Over 14.5 1.22 82.0% —
Over 15.5 4.90 20.4% —
Over 16.5 7.30 13.7% —
Over 17.5 7.10 14.1% —
Over 18.5 2.55 39.2% —
Over 19.5 2.45 40.8% —
Over 20.5 2.20 45.5% —
Under 2.5 — 1.25 80.0%
Under 14.5 3.80 26.3% —
Under 15.5 1.12 89.3% —
Under 16.5 1.05 95.2% —
Under 17.5 1.05 95.2% —
Under 18.5 1.45 69.0% —
Under 19.5 1.48 67.6% —
Under 20.5 1.60 62.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah
L L L W W
2025-07-30 2025 Montreal, Canada, Doubles
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah Errani S / Paolini J 2:0 Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah
2024-08-21 2024 Cleveland, USA, Doubles
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah 0:2 Gleason Q / Gamarra Martins I
2024-08-11 2024 Toronto, Canada, Doubles
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah Dabrowski G / Routliffe E 2:0 Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah
2024-08-10 2024 Toronto, Canada, Doubles
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah Mladenovic K / Zhang Shuai 1:2 Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah
2024-08-08 2024 Toronto, Canada, Doubles
Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah Harrison C / Krueger A 1:2 Fernandez B J / Fernandez Leylah
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Mertens E / Shnaider D
D
06.08.2026 Championat
S. Storm Khanter D. Dezire Kravchik Storm Khanter / Dezire Kravchik K. Katarzhina Piter D. Dzhaniche Chen Katarzhina Piter / Dzhaniche Chen 1-y krug Mertens E / Shnaider D
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage