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WTA. Toronto
WTA. Toronto International
2 round 04.08.2026 18:05 UTC

Kostyuk M - Sebov K

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Kostyuk M go head-to-head with Sebov K on August 4, 2026 in the WTA. Toronto, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kostyuk M 4-0-1, Sebov K 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kostyuk M — 88%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kostyuk M): model 52% · market 92% Δ −40 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kostyuk M ✓ Pick88.3%
market92%
2 · Sebov K11.7%
market8%

Model estimate: win Kostyuk M 88.3%, win Sebov K 11.7%. Model favourite — Kostyuk M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kostyuk M - Sebov K August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kostyuk M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 4 books · best price +1.9%
1 ✓ Pick 92.4%
2 7.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.04 ↓ 1.03
Winner P2 11.50 ↑ 13.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis WTA. Toronto
WTA. Toronto 2-y krug hard 04.08.2026 18:05 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 18:05 UTC 2-y krug Not started
Kostyuk M
Kostyuk M Ukraine
L W W W W
Sebov K
Sebov K Canada
W L W W L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.05 92.5% BetBoom
P2 13.00 7.5% BetBoom
Stadium: Aviva Senter. Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Ukraine Country Canada
- Rating -
24 Age 27
175 Height (cm) 173
- Weight (kg) -
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
C 1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Kostyuk M
73% 35 / 48
73% 35 / 48
Sintetika
no data
clay
16 iz 17
grass
5 iz 6
hard
14 iz 25
Sebov K
50% 1 / 2
50% 1 / 2
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
1 iz 2

Head-to-head history

2021
WTA. Toronto
  M. Marta Kostyuk 1 6
  K. Ketrin Sebov 0 3
Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter. Tsentralnyy kort
Start 04.08.2026 18:05 UTC
Market 1 92.7% @ 1.03 / 2 7.3% @ 13.00
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Kostyuk M - Sebov K

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Marta Kostyuk - Ketrin Sebov. Toronto. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kostyuk M 92.4% 88.3% market and model agree
Sebov K 7.6% 11.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 88.3% / 11.7% probabilities
Rating 1,564 / 1,579 Kostyuk M / Sebov K
RD 250 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,064-2,063 / 1,203-1,955 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.60 market consensus · no value · model 11.7%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 88.3%
Total
Over 15.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.04 96.2%
— — 1.08 92.6%
— — 1.17 85.5%
— — 1.33 75.2%
1.69 59.2% 1.71 58.5% —
2.13 47.0% — —
2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% —
1.70 58.8% — —
— — 8.50 11.8%
— — 6.40 15.6%
— — 4.40 22.7%
— — 3.00 33.3%
— — 2.13 47.0%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.25 80.0%
— — 1.09 91.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 16.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 17.5 1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6%
Over 18.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 19.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Over 20.5 — — 3.25 30.8%
Over 21.5 — — 3.80 26.3%
Over 22.5 — — 4.40 22.7%
Under 15.5 — — 3.60 27.8%
Under 16.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 17.5 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Under 18.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Under 19.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Under 20.5 — — 1.30 76.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2%
12.00 8.3% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7% 9.60 10.4%
Match center
Kostyuk M
L W W W W
2026-07-09 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kostyuk M Kostyuk M 0:2 Noskova L
2026-07-08 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kostyuk M Kostyuk M 2:0 Paolini J
2026-07-06 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kostyuk M Krueger A 0:2 Kostyuk M
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kostyuk M Navarro E 1:2 Kostyuk M
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kostyuk M Blinkova A 1:2 Kostyuk M
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Sebov K
W L W W L
2026-08-02 2026 Toronto, Canada
Ito Aoi 0:2 Sebov K Sebov K
2026-07-28 2026 Memphis, USA
Sebov K 0:2 Kalieva E Sebov K
2026-07-26 2026 Memphis, USA, Qualifying
Sebov K 2:0 Teixido Garcia Aran Sebov K
2026-07-25 2026 Memphis, USA, Qualifying
Sebov K 2:0 Soares Camila Sebov K
2026-07-09 2026 Newport, USA
Sebov K 0:2 Maria T Sebov K
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKostyuk M - Sebov K

Kostyuk M
0 matches total
Sebov K
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2021 Chikago-1 hard 1-y krug 8 M. Marta Kostyuk Marta Kostyuk (Ukraine) 2 6 WC K. Ketrin Sebov Ketrin Sebov (Canada) 0 3 ; ; ; CHAMP('st