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WTA. Toronto
WTA. Toronto International
2 round 04.08.2026 23:05 UTC

Sabalenka A - Uchijima M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Sabalenka A face Uchijima M on August 4, 2026 in the WTA. Toronto, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sabalenka A 3-0-2, Uchijima M 4-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sabalenka A — 88%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sabalenka A): model 44% · market 93% Δ −49 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sabalenka A ✓ Pick88.0%
market93%
2 · Uchijima M12.0%
market7%

Model estimate: win Sabalenka A 88.0%, win Uchijima M 12.0%. Model favourite — Sabalenka A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sabalenka A - Uchijima M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sabalenka A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 14.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 92.9%
2 7.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.07 ↓ 1.03
Winner P2 9.00 ↑ 14.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis WTA. Toronto
WTA. Toronto 2 round 04.08.2026 23:05 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 23:05 UTC 2 round Not started
Sabalenka A
Sabalenka A Belarus
L W W W L
Uchijima M
Uchijima M Japan
W W L W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.05 93.0% BetBoom
P2 14.00 7.0% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Belarus Country Japan
- Rating -
28 Age 24
182 Height (cm) 173
80 Weight (kg) 65
Right Hand Right
1 Seed Q
- Coverage -
1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Sabalenka A
84% 53 / 63
84% 53 / 63
Synthetic
no data
Clay
8 of 11
Grass
5 of 7
Hard
40 of 45
Uchijima M
19% 4 / 21
19% 4 / 21
Synthetic
no data
Clay
0 of 5
Grass
no data
Hard
4 of 16

Head-to-head history

2024
Rolan Garros (zh) Clay
2 round Q
  Sabalenka A 0
  Uchijima M 0
Match center
Stadium Aviva Senter.
Start 04.08.2026 23:05 UTC
Market 1 93.1% @ 1.03 / 2 6.9% @ 14.00
Form 3 matches
Match center

Sabalenka A - Uchijima M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Arina Sobolenko - Moyuka Utidzima. Toronto. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sabalenka A 92.9% 88.0% market and model agree
Uchijima M 7.1% 12.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 88.0% / 12.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,758 Sobolenko A / Utidzima M
RD 350 / 184 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,389-2,126 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 market consensus · no value · model 12.0%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 88.0%
Total
Over 15.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.04 96.2%
— — 1.07 93.5%
— — 1.15 87.0%
— — 1.30 76.9%
1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4%
— — 2.20 45.5%
2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% —
— — 9.00 11.1%
— — 6.90 14.5%
— — 4.70 21.3%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.27 78.7%
— — 1.09 91.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 16.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 17.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3%
Over 18.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 19.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Over 20.5 — — 3.45 29.0%
Over 21.5 — — 4.00 25.0%
Over 22.5 — — 4.70 21.3%
Under 15.5 — — 3.45 29.0%
Under 16.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 17.5 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%
Under 18.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Under 19.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
Under 20.5 — — 1.25 80.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%
14.00 7.1% 13.00 7.7% 14.00 7.1% 10.00 10.0%
Match center
Sabalenka A
L W W W L
2026-07-05 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sabalenka A Sabalenka A 0:2 Osaka N
2026-07-03 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sabalenka A Sabalenka A 2:0 Ostapenko J
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sabalenka A Sabalenka A 2:0 Kessler M
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sabalenka A Sabalenka A 2:0 Kostovic T
2026-06-20 2026 Berlin, Germany
Sabalenka A Sabalenka A 1:2 Pegula J
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Uchijima M
W W L W W
2026-08-02 2026 Toronto, Canada
Uchijima M 2:0 Bucsa C Uchijima M
2026-08-01 2026 Toronto, Canada, Qualifying
Uchijima M 2:0 Sakatsume H Uchijima M
2026-07-30 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Uchijima M 1:2 Inglis M Uchijima M
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Uchijima M 2:1 Kinoshita H Uchijima M
2026-07-28 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Uchijima M 2:0 Kuramochi M Uchijima M
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySabalenka A - Uchijima M

Sabalenka A
0 matches total
Uchijima M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history