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WTA Cincinnati, USA Women Singles
WTA Cincinnati, USA Women Singles International
11.08.2026 18:35 UTC Match prediction

Stoiana M - Erjavec V

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis WTA Cincinnati, USA Women Singles
WTA Cincinnati, USA Women Singles hard 11.08.2026 18:35 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 18:35 UTC Finished
Stoiana M
Stoiana M
Rank #104 Elo 775
50Average Form
L L W W W L L W
Erjavec V
Erjavec V
Rank #127 Elo 603
63Average Form
W W L L W L L L
2:0 6:2 7:6
1 2 GP
Stoiana M 6 7 2
Erjavec V 2 6 0
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Stoiana M Erjavec V
Win % 63.4% 61.6%
Hard % 62.6% 50.6%
Clay % 60.7% 65.9%
Grass % 66.7% 50%
Deciding set % 51.7% 50.6%
Tie-breaks % 65.7% 50%
Titles (total) 2 8
Last 10 LLLWWLWWLW LLWWWLLWLL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#104 Rating #127
26 Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Stoiana M Erjavec V
Aces per match 0.89 2.06
Double faults per match 1.45 3.25
Breaks per match 5.32 4.19

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Veronika Erjavec
Rank:104 Elo: 775
L L W W W L L W
Mary Stoiana
Rank:127 Elo: 603
W W L L W L L L
Elo favourite:Erjavec V (edge +172 Elo)

Hard

Veronika ErjavecMary Stoiana
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches 54.2% 13 / 24 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 40.0% 6 / 15 Matches 65.4% 34 / 52 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.17 2.29
Most Aces in a match 0 % 36 %

Clay

Veronika ErjavecMary Stoiana
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 57.1% 16 / 28 Matches 72.2% 13 / 18 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 34 / 51 Matches 72.2% 13 / 18 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.75 1.50
Most Aces in a match 25 % 33 %

Grass

Veronika ErjavecMary Stoiana
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.50 2.08
Most Aces in a match 25 % 25 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 50.0% 19 / 38 Matches 63.0% 34 / 54 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 58.6% 41 / 70 Matches 67.1% 55 / 82 Matches
Current rank 104 127

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana
Prize money (career) $681,934 USD $91,893 USD
Rating 104 127
Age 26 —

Win percentage (match / set)

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana
Match Wins 50 % 63 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % 63 %
Wins in Straight Sets 37 % 41 %
Wins From Behind 5 % 23 %
Won At Least 1 Set 63 % 89 %
Set 1 Win 53 % 67 %
Set 2 Win 47 % 62 %
Set 3 Win 56 % 46 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st serve percentage 0% 100%
1st serve points won 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
2nd serve points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved 0/0 0/0
1st return points won 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
2nd return points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted 0/0 0/0
Service Points Won 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
Return Points Won 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Total Points Won 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Last 10 balls 0 1
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Return games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Total games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.18 9.43 9.31
Over 6.5 89 % 98 % 94 %
Over 7.5 74 % 87 % 81 %
Over 8.5 58 % 70 % 64 %
Over 9.5 39 % 41 % 40 %
Over 10.5 24 % 20 % 22 %
Over 11.5 24 % 20 % 22 %

Aces

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana Match total
Aces Per Match 0.89 2.06 2.95
Most Aces in a match 21 % 31 % N/A
1+ 55 % 88 % 88 %
2+ 29 % 59 % 73 %
3+ 5 % 34 % 59 %
4+ 0 % 16 % 42 %
5+ 0 % 6 % 28 %

Breaks

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana Match total
Breaks Per Match 5.32 4.19 9.51
Over 0.5 97 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 92 % 75 % 100 %
Over 2.5 42 % 75 % 100 %
Over 3.5 42 % 72 % 99 %
Over 4.5 42 % 9 % 86 %
Over 5.5 34 % 6 % 82 %

Tie-breaks

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.24 0.24 0.24
Over 0.5 24 % 22 % 23 %
Over 1.5 0 % 2 % 1 %
Under 0.5 76 % 78 % 23 %
Under 1.5 100 % 98 % 1 %

Double faults

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.45 3.25 4.7
Over 0.5 (1+) 74 % 91 % 96 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 39 % 81 % 92 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 21 % 56 % 82 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 11 % 50 % 69 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % 28 % 59 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 16 % 46 %

Net points

Veronika Erjavec Mary Stoiana Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 13.67 21.93 35.6
Over 4.5 (5+) 33 % 100 % 67 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 33 % 100 % 67 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 33 % 100 % 67 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 33 % 100 % 67 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 33 % 100 % 67 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 33 % 100 % 67 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.70 89.8% BetBoom
P2 15.00 10.2% BetBoom

Stoiana M go head-to-head with Erjavec V on August 11, 2026 in the WTA Cincinnati, USA Women Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Stoiana M 2-0-3, Erjavec V 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 86% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Stoiana M — 86%

1 · Stoiana M ✓ Pick85.8%
market 65%
2 · Erjavec V14.2%
market 35%

Model estimate: win Stoiana M 85.8%, win Erjavec V 14.2%. Model favourite — Stoiana M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stoiana M (odds1.67) Score 2:1 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Stoyana M: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Eryavets V: forma PVV (2-1)
  • • Model backs Stoyana M: probability 55% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stoiana M - Erjavec V August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stoiana M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Stoiana M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Stoiana M 85.8% / Erjavec V 14.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.5% 5 books · best price +18.1%
1 ✓ Pick 65.2%
2 34.8%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.70 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 2.15 ↑ 15.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Stoiana M
64%
1.70
Erjavec V
36%
15.00
Total
Over 20.5
52%
1.83
Under 20.5
48%
2.70

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Stoiana M
5-5LWLWWLLLWW
scored 1.5conceded 1.2
Erjavec V
4-6LLWLLWWWLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 19:48 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 62% 38% 2:1 Over 21.5
Match center
Start 11.08.2026 18:35 UTC
Market 1 93.7% @ 1.01 / 2 6.3% @ 15.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Stoiana M 62%
📐 Math model Stoiana M 86%
💹 Market Stoiana M 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

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Match center

Stoiana M - Erjavec V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Stoiana M Erjavec V Result
Set 1 6 2 6:2
Set 2 7 6 7:6
Metric Stoiana M Erjavec V SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 85.8% fact: home hit / Brier 0.040 / LogLoss 0.153
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.3% fact: home hit / Brier 0.418 / LogLoss 0.611
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Stoiana M 89.8% 65.4% model more cautious than market
Erjavec V 10.2% 34.6%
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko85.8% · +Elo prior (weight0.54).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 85.8% / 14.2% probabilities
Rating 1,614 / 1,691 Stoiana M / Erjavec V
RD 224 / 222 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,167-2,062 / 1,248-2,134 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.59 market consensus · no value · model 14.2%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 85.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.90 market consensus · line only
Over 16.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
1.40 71.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.02 98.0%
13.00 7.7%
5.60 17.9%
3.15 31.8%
3.40 29.4%
2.95 33.9%
2.90 34.5%
2.70 37.0%
2.20 45.5%
1.97 50.8%
10.00 10.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.09 91.7%
1.35 74.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
1.03 97.1%
9.00 11.1%
11.50 8.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 16.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 17.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 18.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 19.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 20.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 21.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 22.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 23.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 24.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 25.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 26.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 27.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 28.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 16.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 17.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 18.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 19.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 20.5 2.70 37.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 2.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-11 · Meri Stoyana 2:0 Veronika Eryavets
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.59 (Winline) · 2 2.75 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.55 2.45
Winline 1.59 2.33
Fonbet 1.55 2.45
Betcity 1.45 2.75
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 1
4 Dvoynye oshibki 2
7 Vsego breyk-poyntov 3
5 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
71 Vyigrannye Points 53
36 Points na podache 31
22 Poteryannye Points na podache 35
40 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 37
14 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 27
28 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 17
8 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 14
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
7 Geymy na podache 5
13 Vyigrannye geymy 8
3 Maks. geymov podryad 2
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Stoiana M
L L L W W
2026-08-01 2026 Toronto, Canada, Qualifying
Stoiana M Korneeva A 2:1 Stoiana M
2026-07-28 2026 Memphis, USA
Stoiana M Stoiana M 1:2 Stearns P
2026-07-10 2026 Newport, USA
Stoiana M Sawangkaew M 2:1 Stoiana M
2026-07-09 2026 Newport, USA
Stoiana M Shymanovich I 1:2 Stoiana M
2026-07-08 2026 Newport, USA
Stoiana M Scott Katrina 0:2 Stoiana M
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Erjavec V
L L W W W
2026-07-21 2026 Hamburg, Germany
Romero Gormaz L 2:0 Erjavec V Erjavec V
2026-07-18 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Erjavec V 0:2 Grabher J Erjavec V
2026-07-17 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Erjavec V 2:0 Feistel G Erjavec V
2026-07-15 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Erjavec V 2:0 Barthel M Erjavec V
2026-07-13 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Erjavec V 2:1 Bosio V Erjavec V
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStoiana M - Erjavec V

Stoiana M
0 matches total
Erjavec V
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stoiana M vs Erjavec V?

By the PropickAI model, Stoiana M is favoured — about 86% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Stoiana M vs Erjavec V?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Stoiana M. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Stoiana M vs Erjavec V start?

August 11, 2026.