Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
WTA. Vashington
WTA. Vashington International

Shnaider D - Samsonova L

Tennis WTA. Vashington
WTA. Vashington 1/4 finala hard 31.07.2026 19:30 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 19:30 UTC 1/4 finala Finished
Shnaider D
Shnaider D Russia Seed 18
W L W L L
Samsonova L
Samsonova L Russia Seed 70
W W L W W
2:0 6:3 6:4
1 2 GP
Shnaider D 6 6 2
Samsonova L 3 4 0
1 2
Odds
P1 4.00 33.3% BetBoom
P2 2.00 66.7% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Russia Country Russia
- Rating -
22 Age 27
170 Height (cm) 182
- Weight (kg) -
Levsha Hand Pravsha
4 Seed 2
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 2

Form over the last year

Shnaider D
58% 30 / 52
58% 30 / 52
Sintetika
no data
clay
10 iz 15
grass
1 iz 4
hard
19 iz 33
Samsonova L
43% 18 / 42
43% 18 / 42
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 9
grass
3 iz 7
hard
12 iz 26

Head-to-head history

2026
WTA. Vashington
  Shnaider D 0
  Samsonova L 0
2024
WTA. Vashington
  Shnaider D 0
  Samsonova L 0

Shnaider D take on Samsonova L on July 31, 2026 in the WTA. Vashington, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shnaider D 2-0-3, Samsonova L 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 41% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Samsonova L59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Samsonova L): model 40% · market 47% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shnaider D40.9%
market53%
2 · Samsonova L59.1%
market47%

Model estimate: win Shnaider D 40.9%, win Samsonova L 59.1%. Model favourite — Samsonova L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shnaider D (odds1.80) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✓ outcome correct
  • Shnayder D
  • (World) — Samsonova L
  • (World) (tennis)
  • Shnayder D
  • (World): forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • Samsonova L
  • (World): forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Shnayder D
  • (World): probability 60% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
  • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shnaider D - Samsonova L July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shnaider D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shnaider D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / 2 2.00
  • Glicko: Shnaider D 40.9% / Samsonova L 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 52.6%
2 47.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.80 ↑ 1.82
Winner 2 2.00 → 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
2.0Average score0.5

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 2.5 (goals)

Team form

Shnaider D
6-4LWWWWWLLLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.0
Samsonova L
4-6WLLLLLWLWW
scored 1.1conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa
Start 31.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 52.6% @ 1.80 / 2 47.4% @ 2.00
Stage 1/4 finala
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Shnaider D - Samsonova L

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Diana Shnayder - Lyudmila Samsonova, 31 iyulya 2026. Vashington (zh). Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Diana Shnayder - Lyudmila Samsonova, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Shnaider D Samsonova L Result
Set 0 6 3 6:3
Set 1 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 59.1% fact: home missed / Brier 0.698 / LogLoss 0.893
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.1% fact: home missed / Brier 0.522 / LogLoss 0.715
Championat

Match flow

Source

2:0 D. Shnayder Etot poedinok opredelenno poluchilsya by bolee napryazhennym, esli by Lyudmila ne darila sopernitse tak mnogo myachey svoimi netochnostyami. 10/18 u Shnayder po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam, 18/49 u Samsonovoy. Smogla Lyudmila sdelat obratnyy breyk v etoy partii, v otlichie ot pervogo sets, no tut zhe snova otdala svoyu podachu — and eto preimuschestvo Diana uzhe uderzhala do kontsa poedinka. V polufinale Shnayder sygraet s Dzhessikoy Peguloy, kotoraya ranee vybila Annu Kalinskuyu v svoem chetvertfinalnom matche. A ya, Artem Taymanov, na etom proschayus s vami. Spasibo za vnimanie, esche uvidimsya! V etot raz Shnayder deystvovala chische and za schet etogo dobilas Wins Shnayder vzyala rossiyskoe derbi v

01:15 2:0 D. Shnayder Etot poedinok opredelenno poluchilsya by bolee napryazhennym, esli by Lyudmila ne darila sopernitse tak mnogo myachey svoimi netochnostyami. 10/18 u Shnayder po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam, 18/49 u Samsonovoy. Smogla Lyudmila sdelat obratnyy breyk v etoy partii, v otlichie ot pervogo sets, no tut zhe snova otdala svoyu podachu — and eto preimuschestvo Diana uzhe uderzhala do kontsa poedinka. V polufinale Shnayder sygraet s Dzhessikoy Peguloy, kotoraya ranee vybila Annu Kalinskuyu v svoem chetvertfinalnom matche. A ya, Artem Taymanov, na etom proschayus s vami. Spasibo za vnimanie, esche uvidimsya! V etot raz Shnayder deystvovala chische and za schet etogo dobilas Wins Shnayder vzyala rossiyskoe derbi v
01:11 6:4 D. Shnayder Ochen plotno and gluboko podala Diana — Lyudmila ne smogla prinyat v court
40:15 . Napryazhennaya perestrelka na zadney linii zavyazalas, and v itoge Lyudmila prostrelila otlichnym korotkim krossom sleva navylet!
01:11 40:0. Sryvaet priem s forkhenda Samsonova. Eto troynoy matchbol
01:10 30:0. Zdorovo perevodit Diana myach sleva na liniyu iz ugla korta — Lyudmila tolkom ne uspevaet za etim udarom
01:10 15:0. Plotnaya perestrelka na zadney linii zakanchivaetsya vynuzhdennoy oshibkoy Samsonovoy s bekkhenda
01:09 Itak, na match podaet Shnayder!
01:07 5:4 L. Samsonova Sryvaet Diana priem plotnoy podachi v korpus
40:30 . Ne prokhodit u Samsonovoy perevod sprava na liniyu
40:15 . Krasivo atakuet Lyudmila, zavershaya rozygrysh otlichnym krossom v ugol korta
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shnaider D 38.9% 40.9%
Samsonova L 61.1% 59.1% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.9% / 59.1% probabilities
Rating 1,960 / 1,758 Shnaider D / Samsonova L
RD 148 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,664-2,256 / 1,456-2,061 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 Fonbet · value +18.1% · model 59.1%
1 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
2.05 48.8% 1.60 62.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
2.15 46.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.02 49.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.85 35.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1%
1.96 51.0% 1.63 61.4%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 6.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 10.5 1.96 51.0%
Over 18.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 19.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 20.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 21.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 22.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 23.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 25.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 26.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 6.5 1.96 51.0%
Under 10.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 18.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 19.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 20.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 21.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
4.00 25.0% 1.80 55.6%
1.36 73.5% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Shnaider D
W L W L L
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Shnaider D Shnaider D 2:0 Potapova A
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Shnaider D Shnaider D 1:2 Samsonova L
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Shnaider D Shnaider D 2:0 Lys E
2026-06-22 2026 Bad Homburg, Germany
Shnaider D Tauson C 2:0 Shnaider D
2026-06-15 2026 Berlin, Germany
Shnaider D Bartunkova N 2:1 Shnaider D
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Samsonova L
W W L W W
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Wang Xinyu 0:2 Samsonova L Samsonova L
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Samsonova L 2:1 Keys M Samsonova L
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Samsonova L 1:2 Bouzkova M Samsonova L
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Shnaider D 1:2 Samsonova L Samsonova L
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Kudermetova P 0:2 Samsonova L Samsonova L
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyShnaider D - Samsonova L

Shnaider D
1 matches total
Samsonova L
Shnaider D: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Samsonova L: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Samsonova L 1:2 (2026-07-02) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 2026-07-02) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Shnaider D 1:2 Samsonova L