Argentina. Division de Honor
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 San Lorenzo de Almagro — 65%
Pure model vs market (1 · San Lorenzo de Almagro): model 60% · market 66% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win San Lorenzo de Almagro 65.4%, win Ferro Carril Oeste 34.6%. Model favourite — San Lorenzo de Almagro.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • San Lorentso de Almagro: forma PPV (1-2)
- • Ferro Karril Oeste: forma pp (0-2)
- • Model backs San Lorentso de Almagro: probability 66% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction San Lorenzo de Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste July 31, 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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San Lorenzo de Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.37 73.0% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | |
| 2.63 38.0% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.73 36.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 179.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 179.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 180.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
San Lorenzo de Almagro
Ferro Carril Oeste
Full head-to-head historySan Lorenzo de Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste
Match history
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The San Lorenzo de Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form