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Start
28.07.2026 00:25 UTC
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28.07.2026 00:25 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Women. 2-y Division
Atletico General Lamadrid (w) - Pinocho (w)
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Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Atletico General Lamadrid (w) — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico General Lamadrid (w)): model 50% · market 13% Δ +37 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Atletico General Lamadrid (w) 56.3%, win Pinocho (w) 43.7%. Model favourite — Atletico General Lamadrid (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Atletico General Lamadrid (w) (odds1.70)
Score 3:2
confidence 59%
- • Model backs Atletiko Kheneral Lamadrid (zh): probability 59% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico General Lamadrid (w) - Pinocho (w) July 28, 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Pinocho (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick
12.7%
2
87.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1
1.70
↓ 1.63
Pobeditel P2
2.02
↑ 2.15
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atletico General Lamadrid (w) - Pinocho (w)
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
2
model / bookmakers
Flashscore
match data
source checked
Odds
match data
source checked
Bookiesapi
match data
source checked
Line depth
match data
source checked
Present in data
Market
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
Form
liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H
Championat, Flashscore
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
Championat
Overview
Championat
Market and Glicko
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Atletico General Lamadrid (w)
57.0%
56.3%
market and model agree
Pinocho (w)
43.0%
43.7%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Volleyball math model
P1 / P2
56.3% / 43.7%
probabilities
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Atletico General Lamadrid (w) / Pinocho (w)
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 35
HFA mu: 0.201
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.06
Fonbet · no value · model 43.7%
1
7.30
Fonbet · weak value +310.9% · model 56.3%
Total
Over 132.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Over 134.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | — | — | |
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | — | 1.87 53.5% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | — | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.58 63.3% | 1.60 62.5% | 7.30 13.7% | 1.67 59.9% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.14 46.7% | 1.06 94.3% | 2.07 48.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 132.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 134.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 161.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 162.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 163.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 164.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 167.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 168.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 169.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 170.5 | — | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 171.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 179.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Over 181.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | — |
| Under 179.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Under 181.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | — |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtletico General Lamadrid (w) - Pinocho (w)
Atletico General Lamadrid (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Atletico General Lamadrid (w) - Pinocho (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form