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Brazil. Do 21 goda. Paulista
Brazil. Do 21 goda. Paulista International
27.07.2026 18:55 UTC
27.07.2026 18:55 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Do 21 goda. Paulista

Bebedouro U21 - Itaqua Voley U21

International Volleyball
Bebedouro U21
Bebedouro U21
- : -
Finished
Itaqua Voley U21
Itaqua Voley U21
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Itaqua Voley U21 — 76%

Pure model vs market (2 · Itaqua Voley U21): model 50% · market 79% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bebedouro U2123.7%
market21%
2 · Itaqua Voley U21 ✓ Pick76.3%
market79%

Model estimate: win Bebedouro U21 23.7%, win Itaqua Voley U21 76.3%. Model favourite — Itaqua Voley U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bebedouro U21 - Itaqua Voley U21 July 27, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Itaqua Voley U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 20.7%
2 ✓ Pick 79.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 4.40 → 4.40
Pobeditel P2 1.15 → 1.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 18:55 UTC
Match center

Bebedouro U21 - Itaqua Voley U21

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bebedouro U21 20.7% 23.7%
Itaqua Voley U21 79.3% 76.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 23.7% / 76.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Bebedouro U21 / Itaqua Voley U21
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 76.3%
1 4.40 Fonbet · no value · model 23.7%
Total
Over 156.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 157.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
4.30 23.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.48 22.3%
1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 156.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 157.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 156.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 157.5 1.85 54.1%