Brazil. Superleague C
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Arena Sports — 74%
Pure model vs market (2 · Arena Sports): model 50% · market 77% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Salvador BA 25.8%, win Arena Sports 74.2%. Model favourite — Arena Sports.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 25.6% | 3.95 25.3% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% |
Full head-to-head historySalvador BA - Arena Sports
The Salvador BA - Arena Sports breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
