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Brazil. Women. Superleague C
Brazil. Women. Superleague C International
29.07.2026 22:25 UTC
29.07.2026 22:25 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Women. Superleague C

APAV CASTRO (w) - Passo Fundo RS (w)

International Volleyball
APAV CASTRO (w)
APAV CASTRO (w)
- : -
Finished
Passo Fundo RS (w)
Passo Fundo RS (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 APAV CASTRO (w) — 59%

1 · APAV CASTRO (w) ✓ Pick59.0%
market26%
2 · Passo Fundo RS (w)41.0%
market74%

Model estimate: win APAV CASTRO (w) 59.0%, win Passo Fundo RS (w) 41.0%. Model favourite — APAV CASTRO (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1APAV CASTRO (w) (odds2.35) Score 3:2 confidence 59%
  • • Model backs APAV Kastro (zh): probability 59% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
  • • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction APAV CASTRO (w) - Passo Fundo RS (w) July 29, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Passo Fundo RS (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.55 / 2 1.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 26.0%
2 74.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.35 → 2.35
Pobeditel P2 1.52 → 1.52

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 22:25 UTC
Match center

APAV CASTRO (w) - Passo Fundo RS (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
APAV CASTRO (w) 39.3% 59.0% Glicko contrarian
Passo Fundo RS (w) 60.7% 41.0% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 59.0% / 41.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 APAV CASTRO (w) / Passo Fundo RS (w)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 41.0%
1 3.55 Fonbet · weak value +109.5% · model 59.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 136.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.87 53.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.40 41.7%
2.13 47.0%
2.05 48.8%
2.70 37.0%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.50 66.7%
2.65 37.7%
4.30 23.3%
1.94 51.6%
1.85 54.1%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet
3.55 28.2%
1.25 80.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 136.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 137.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 138.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 139.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 140.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 142.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 144.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 148.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 150.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 154.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 169.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 174.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 175.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 176.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 177.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 178.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 179.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 180.5 1.72 58.1%