Brazil. Women. Superleague C
Clube Paineiras Morumby (w) - Capixaba Volei (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Clube Paineiras Morumby (w) — 76%
Pure model vs market (1 · Clube Paineiras Morumby (w)): model 50% · market 80% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Clube Paineiras Morumby (w) 76.3%, win Capixaba Volei (w) 23.7%. Model favourite — Clube Paineiras Morumby (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Clube Paineiras Morumby (w) - Capixaba Volei (w) July 29, 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / 2 4.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Clube Paineiras Morumby (w) - Capixaba Volei (w)
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.16 86.2% | |
| 4.30 23.3% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.52 22.1% |
Full head-to-head historyClube Paineiras Morumby (w) - Capixaba Volei (w)
Match history
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The Clube Paineiras Morumby (w) - Capixaba Volei (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form