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Brazil. Women. Superleague C
Brazil. Women. Superleague C International
30.07.2026 18:55 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Women. Superleague C

Capixaba Volei (w) - Academia do Volei/MG (w)

International Volleyball
Capixaba Volei (w)
Capixaba Volei (w)
2 : 0
25:17 25:11
Finished
Academia do Volei/MG (w)
Academia do Volei/MG (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Capixaba Volei (w)77%

Pure model vs market (1 · Capixaba Volei (w)): model 57% · market 91% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Capixaba Volei (w) ✓ Pick77.4%
market91%
2 · Academia do Volei/MG (w)22.6%
market9%

Model estimate: win Capixaba Volei (w) 77.4%, win Academia do Volei/MG (w) 22.6%. Model favourite — Capixaba Volei (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Capixaba Volei (w) (odds1.25) Score 3:2 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Kapiksaba (zh): probability 59% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • no edge over the line (-21 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Capixaba Volei (w) - Academia do Volei/MG (w) July 30, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Capixaba Volei (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Capixaba Volei (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Capixaba Volei (w) 77.4% / Academia do Volei/MG (w) 22.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.25 ↓ 1.06
Winner 2 3.45 ↑ 6.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Capixaba Volei (w)
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 3:1 · 100%
3:1APayneyras Morumbi (zh)
Academia do Volei/MG (w)
Last 1: 0W · 1L · sets 1:3 · 0%
1:3AK.N.R. Alvares Kabral (zh)

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 18:55 UTC
Form 2 matches
Match center

Capixaba Volei (w) - Academia do Volei/MG (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Capixaba Volei (w) Academia do Volei/MG (w) Result
Set 1 25 17 25:17
Set 2 25 11 25:11
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 77.4% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.102 / LogLoss 0.256
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 58.2% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.349 / LogLoss 0.541
Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 58.2% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.349 / LogLoss 0.541
Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 58.2% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.349 / LogLoss 0.541
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Capixaba Volei (w) 79.6% 77.4% market and model agree
Academia do Volei/MG (w) 20.4% 22.6%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 77.4% / 22.6% probabilities
Rating 1,595 / 1,358 Capixaba Volei (w) / Academia do Volei/MG (w)
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,014-2,176 / 777-1,939 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 22.6%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 77.4%
Total
Over 116.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 117.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.68 59.5%
2.05 48.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.23 44.8%
1.94 51.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.15 46.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.80 55.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.03 49.3%
2.10 47.6%
2.65 37.7%
1.47 68.0%
1.65 60.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.85 54.1%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.27 78.7%
10.00 10.0% 3.44 29.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 116.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 117.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 118.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 119.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 120.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 121.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 122.5 4.90 20.4%
Over 123.5 7.70 13.0%
Over 124.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 125.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 126.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 127.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 128.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 129.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 130.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 131.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 132.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 133.5 2.20 45.5%
Match center
Capixaba Volei (w)
W
29.07 20:55 UTC Brazil. Women. Superliga S
Capixaba Volei (w) 3:1 Payneyras Morumbi (zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Academia do Volei/MG (w)
L
29.07 23:25 UTC Brazil. Women. Superliga S
Academia do Volei/MG (w) 1:3 K.N.R. Alvares Kabral (zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage