Brazil. Women. Superleague C
Capixaba Volei (w) - Academia do Volei/MG (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Capixaba Volei (w) — 77%
Pure model vs market (1 · Capixaba Volei (w)): model 57% · market 91% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Capixaba Volei (w) 77.4%, win Academia do Volei/MG (w) 22.6%. Model favourite — Capixaba Volei (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Kapiksaba (zh): probability 59% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
- • no edge over the line (-21 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Capixaba Volei (w) - Academia do Volei/MG (w) July 30, 2026
Volleyball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Capixaba Volei (w).
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00
- Glicko: Capixaba Volei (w) 77.4% / Academia do Volei/MG (w) 22.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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Capixaba Volei (w) - Academia do Volei/MG (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.68 59.5% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 2.23 44.8% | |
| 1.94 51.6% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.93 51.8% | |
| 1.85 54.1% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | 1.27 78.7% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | 3.44 29.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 116.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 117.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 118.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 119.5 | 1.37 73.0% |
| Over 120.5 | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 121.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| Over 122.5 | 4.90 20.4% |
| Over 123.5 | 7.70 13.0% |
| Over 124.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| Over 125.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 126.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 127.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 128.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 129.5 | 2.52 39.7% |
| Over 130.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 131.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 132.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 133.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
Capixaba Volei (w)
Academia do Volei/MG (w)
Full head-to-head historyCapixaba Volei (w) - Academia do Volei/MG (w)
Match history
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