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Brazil. Women. Superleague C
Brazil. Women. Superleague C International
30.07.2026 22:25 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Women. Superleague C

Napoli Cacador SC (w) - Napoli Cacador SC (w)

International Volleyball
Napoli Cacador SC (w)
Napoli Cacador SC (w)
1 : 2
25:20 20:25 25:27
Finished
Napoli Cacador SC (w)
Napoli Cacador SC (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Napoli Cacador SC (w)81%

Pure model vs market (2 · Napoli Cacador SC (w)): model 52% · market 90% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Napoli Cacador SC (w)19.2%
market10%
2 · Napoli Cacador SC (w) ✓ Pick80.8%
market90%

Model estimate: win Napoli Cacador SC (w) 19.2%, win Napoli Cacador SC (w) 80.8%. Model favourite — Napoli Cacador SC (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli Cacador SC (w) - Napoli Cacador SC (w) July 30, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli Cacador SC (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Napoli Cacador SC (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Napoli Cacador SC (w) 19.2% / Napoli Cacador SC (w) 80.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 10.3%
2 ✓ Pick 89.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 5.70 → 5.70
Winner 2 1.09 → 1.09

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

APAV CASTRO (w)
Last 3: 1W · 2L · sets 4:6 · 33%
1:3HPasu-Fundu (zh)
0:3HAFAI (zh)
3:0HZhuventus (zh)
Napoli Cacador SC (w)
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 3:0 · 100%
3:0AFos-du-Iguasu (zh)

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:25 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Napoli Cacador SC (w) - Napoli Cacador SC (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Set Napoli Cacador SC (w) Napoli Cacador SC (w) Result
Set 1 25 20 25:20
Set 2 20 25 20:25
Set 3 25 27 25:27
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 80.8% fact: away hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.074 / LogLoss 0.213
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form away - 59.2% fact: away hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.332 / LogLoss 0.523
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Napoli Cacador SC (w) 16.0% 19.2%
Napoli Cacador SC (w) 84.0% 80.8% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 19.2% / 80.8% probabilities
Rating 1,472 / 1,585 Napoli Cacador SC (w) / Napoli Cacador SC (w)
RD 220 / 293 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,033-1,912 / 999-2,171 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 80.8%
1 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 19.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 160.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 164.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.72 58.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.52 65.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
3.70 27.0%
2.00 50.0%
2.00 50.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.80 55.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.20 45.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.40 41.7%
2.03 49.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
5.70 17.5% 5.70 17.5% 9.00 11.1% 5.80 17.2%
1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.03 97.1% 1.10 90.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 160.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 164.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 169.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 171.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 173.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 174.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 175.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 176.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 177.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 178.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 179.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 180.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 181.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 182.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 183.5 6.10 16.4%
Over 184.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 185.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 186.5 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Napoli Cacador SC (w)
L L W
29.07 22:25 UTC Brazil. Women. Superliga S
Napoli Cacador SC (w) 1:3 Pasu-Fundu (zh)
28.07 22:25 UTC Brazil. Women. Superliga S
Napoli Cacador SC (w) 0:3 AFAI (zh)
27.07 22:25 UTC Brazil. Women. Superliga S
Napoli Cacador SC (w) 3:0 Zhuventus (zh)
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Napoli Cacador SC (w)
W
29.07 17:25 UTC Brazil. Women. Superliga S
Napoli Cacador SC (w) 3:0 Fos-du-Iguasu (zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage