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Start
28.07.2026 10:25 UTC
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28.07.2026 10:25 UTC
Finished
Championship Tsentralnoy Azii. Pakistan
Pakistan - Sri Lanka
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Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Pakistan — 86%
Pure model vs market (1 · Pakistan): model 50% · market 92% Δ −42 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Pakistan 85.8%, win Sri Lanka 14.2%. Model favourite — Pakistan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Pakistan - Sri Lanka July 28, 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Pakistan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick
91.6%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1
1.03
→ 1.03
Pobeditel P2
9.00
→ 9.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Pakistan - Sri Lanka
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
2
model / bookmakers
Flashscore
match data
source checked
Odds
match data
source checked
Bookiesapi
match data
source checked
Line depth
match data
source checked
Present in data
Market
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
Form
liveresult, Championat, Flashscore
H2H
Championat, Flashscore
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
Championat
Overview
Championat
Market and Glicko
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Pakistan
89.7%
85.8%
market and model agree
Sri Lanka
10.3%
14.2%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Volleyball math model
P1 / P2
85.8% / 14.2%
probabilities
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Pakistan / Sri Lanka
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 35
HFA mu: 0.201
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.00
market consensus · no value · model 14.2%
1
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 85.8%
Total
Over 115.5
1.38
Fonbet · line only
Over 116.5
1.57
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| — | — | 2.13 47.0% | |
| — | — | 2.13 47.0% | |
| — | — | 1.87 53.5% | |
| — | — | 2.25 44.4% | |
| — | — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | — | 5.30 18.9% | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | — | 2.23 44.8% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.02 98.0% | |
| 8.80 11.4% | 8.30 12.1% | 11.00 9.1% | 9.90 10.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 115.5 | — | — | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 116.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 117.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 118.5 | — | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 119.5 | — | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 120.5 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 121.5 | — | — | 2.23 44.8% |
| Over 122.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 123.5 | — | — | 5.30 18.9% |
| Over 124.5 | — | — | 10.00 10.0% |
| Over 125.5 | — | — | 2.52 39.7% |
| Over 126.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 127.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 128.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 126.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% | — |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPakistan - Sri Lanka
Pakistan
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Pakistan - Sri Lanka breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form