Mongolia face China on August 7, 2026 in the Eastern Asian Championship. Mongolia, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Mongolia 1-0-0, China 0-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2China — 55%
Pure model vs market (2 · China): model 38% · market 57%Δ −19 ppmodel estimates below the market
55%2
1 · Mongolia45.3%
2 · China54.7%
Model estimate: win Mongolia 45.3%, win China 54.7%. Model favourite — China.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2China (odds1.71)Score 2:3confidence 53%
•Mongoliya: forma V (1-0)
•China: forma pp (0-2)
•liniya na pik P2 1.50→1.95 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
•Model backs China: probability 53% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.71)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mongolia - China August 7, 2026
Volleyball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Mongolia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / 2 1.95
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.7%
4 books · best price +19.6%
143.4%
256.6%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P12.40↓ 1.75
Winner P21.50↑ 1.95
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Mongolia
44%
2.50
China
56%
1.95
Total
Over 183.5
50%
1.85
Under 183.5
50%
1.85
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
🏐
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Mongolia
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 2:0 · 100%
2:0AHong Kong
China
Last 2: 0W · 2L · sets 1:5 · 0%
0:2HHong Kong
1:3AJapan
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated06.08.2026 20:09 UTC
130%
270%✓ favourite
Score1:3Total points: Over 178.5Bet:Handicap Kitaya po setam (-1.5)
Per AI dataForm:L,W,L,L,L / W,L,W,W,L
Claudeupdated06.08.2026 20:13 UTC
130%
270%✓ favourite
Score1:3Total points: Over 176.5Bet:2 (win Kitaya) at 1.50
AI consensus:2
AI
1
2
Score
Total points
Bet
Google AI
30%
70%
1:3
Over 178.5
Handicap Kitaya po setam (-1.5)
Claude
30%
70%
1:3
Over 176.5
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Match center
Start07.08.2026 11:25 UTC
Market1 52.7% @ 1.75 / 2 47.3% @ 1.95
Form3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsChina 70%
📐 Math modelChina 55%
💹 MarketChina 57%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Mongolia - China
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form1/1
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat
Market and Glicko
Volleyball math model.
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Mongolia43.4%45.3%
China56.6%54.7%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Volleyball math model
P1 / P245.3% / 54.7%
probabilities
Rating1,711 / 1,152
Mongolia / China
RD291 / 249
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,130-2,292 / 655-1,650
strength interval
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.95
Fonbet · value +6.6% · model 54.7%
11.75
Fonbet · no value · model 45.3%
Handicap
2 +0.51.90
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.51.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 182.51.82
Fonbet · line only
Over 183.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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