Eastern Asian Volleyball Championship. Mongolia
Hong Kong - Mongolia
Hong Kong take on Mongolia on August 5, 2026 in the Eastern Asian Volleyball Championship. Mongolia, International.
Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Hong Kong — 59%
Model estimate: win Hong Kong 59.0%, win Mongolia 41.0%. Model favourite — Hong Kong.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Hong Kong: probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hong Kong - Mongolia August 5, 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.65
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Hong Kong - Mongolia
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.82 55.0% | — | |
| 1.96 51.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | — | |
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.81 55.3% | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.88 53.2% | — | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% | |
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% | — |
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 1.76 56.8% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 143.5 | — | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 170.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 181.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 182.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 143.5 | — | — | 3.00 33.3% |
| Under 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 181.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 182.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
Full head-to-head historyHong Kong - Mongolia
Match history
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The Hong Kong - Mongolia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form