•Model backs Gambiya Armed Forses: probability 56% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gambia Armed Forces - Olymafric Serekunda August 2, 2026
Volleyball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Gambia Armed Forces. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.10
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick56.0%
244.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P11.65→ 1.65
Pobeditel P22.10→ 2.10
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
🏐
Volleyball stats
Form by set
Gambiya Armed Forses
Last 3: 3W · 0L · sets 8:0 · 100%
2:0AVaa Banzhul
3:0HGamtel
3:0AGambiya Prizon
Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.
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Match center
Start02.08.2026 14:55 UTC
Market1 56.0% @ 1.65 / 2 44.0% @ 2.10
Form3 matches
Match center
Gambia Armed Forces - Olymafric Serekunda
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form3/3
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat
Market and Glicko
Volleyball math model.
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Gambia Armed Forces56.0%55.6%market and model agree
Olymafric Serekunda44.0%44.4%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.10
Fonbet · no value · model 44.4%
11.65
Fonbet · no value · model 55.6%
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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