Gambia. National League
YMCA - Gambia Police
YMCA meet Gambia Police on August 1, 2026 in the Gambia. National League, International.
Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Gambia Police — 85%
Pure model vs market (2 · Gambia Police): model 50% · market 92% Δ −42 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win YMCA 15.2%, win Gambia Police 84.8%. Model favourite — Gambia Police.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction YMCA - Gambia Police August 1, 2026
Volleyball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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YMCA - Gambia Police
Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match winner (volleyball)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 11.00 9.1% | 2.74 36.5% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | 1.40 71.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Full head-to-head historyYMCA - Gambia Police
Match history
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The YMCA - Gambia Police breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form