Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Games of Central America and Caribbean Region. Dominican Republic

27.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

27.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

Games of Central America and Caribbean Region. Dominican Republic

Mexico - Dominican Republic

Volleyball

Mexico

3 : 1

Finished

Dominican Republic

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mexico): model 56% · market 89% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mexico ✓ Pick58.3%

market89%

2 · Dominican Republic41.7%

market11%

Model estimate: win Mexico 58.3%, win Dominican Republic 41.7%. Model favourite — Mexico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (odds1.44) Score 3:1 confidence 69% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Mexico: forma PVV (2-1)
• Dominican Republic: forma PPP (0-3)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• Model backs Mexico: probability 69% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.44)
• no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - Dominican Republic July 27, 2026

Volleyball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50
Glicko: Mexico 58.3% / Dominican Republic 41.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 ✓ Pick 89.1%

2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.45 ↑ 1.57

Winner 2 2.55 ↓ 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Mexico

Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 11:9 · 60%

3:0HSurinam

2:3AColombia

0:3HPuerto-Riko

3:2HDominican Republic

3:1HGvatemala

Dominican Republic

Last 5: 1W · 4L · sets 11:12 · 20%

2:3HColombia

3:0HSurinam

2:3HGvatemala

2:3AMexico

2:3HPuerto-Riko

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 27.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Mexico - Dominican Republic

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 3:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 58.3% fact: home hit / ROI 59.0% / Brier 0.348 / LogLoss 0.540

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 52.5% fact: home hit / ROI 59.0% / Brier 0.452 / LogLoss 0.645

Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Mexico 58.6% 58.3% market and model agree

Dominican Republic 41.4% 41.7%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model

P1 / P2 58.3% / 41.7% probabilities

Rating 1,491 / 1,472 Mexico / Dominican Republic

RD 196 / 193 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,100-1,883 / 1,086-1,858 strength interval

HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 41.7%

1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 58.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 114.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Over 115.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.03 49.3%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.52 39.7%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.80 35.7%
	2.50 40.0%
	1.28 78.1%
	1.83 54.6%
	3.45 29.0%
	1.72 58.1%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.13 47.0%
	2.10 47.6%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	1.04 96.2%	1.59 62.9%
	8.50 11.8%	2.22 45.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 114.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 115.5	1.33 75.2%
Over 116.5	1.19 84.0%
Over 117.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 118.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 119.5	4.50 22.2%
Over 120.5	8.50 11.8%
Over 121.5	4.70 21.3%
Over 122.5	2.85 35.1%
Over 123.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 124.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 125.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 126.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 127.5	2.40 41.7%
Over 128.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 129.5	2.52 39.7%
Over 130.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 131.5	2.45 40.8%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-2

2026-07-28 · Mexico 3:1 Dominican Republic

2025-08-28 · Mexico 3:0 Dominican Republic

2023-11-04 · Mexico 1:3 Dominican Republic

2023-06-28 · Mexico 1:3 Dominican Republic

2018-07-29 · Mexico 3:0 Dominican Republic

Source: ruscore

Mexico

W L

26.07 18:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games

Mexico 3:0 Surinam

25.07 18:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games

Mexico 2:3 Colombia

1 Wins

1 Losses

2.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Dominican Republic

L W

26.07 22:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games

Dominican Republic 2:3 Colombia

25.07 22:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games

Dominican Republic 3:0 Surinam

1 Wins

1 Losses

2.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico - Dominican Republic

Mexico

1 matches total

Dominican Republic

Mexico: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Dominican Republic: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Mexico 3:2 (14.06 00:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 14.06 00:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

14.06 00:00 UTC+0 North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: NORCECA Final Four

Mexico

3:2

Dominican Republic