PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Nations League. China. 1/2 finala
Nations League. China. 1/2 finala International
01.08.2026 11:25 UTC
01.08.2026 11:25 UTC
Not started

Nations League. China. 1/2 finala

Japan - USA

International Volleyball
Japan
Japan
- : -
Not started
USA
USA
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 USA — 57%

Pure model vs market (2 · USA): model 54% · market 59% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Japan42.6%
2 · USA ✓ Pick57.4%

Model estimate: win Japan 42.6%, win USA 57.4%. Model favourite — USA.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Japan - USA August 1, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: USA. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.30 / 2 1.63

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 41.5%
2 ✓ Pick 58.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.20 ↑ 2.30
Pobeditel P2 1.65 ↓ 1.63

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Japan
Last 1: 1W · 0L · sets 3:1 · 100%
3:1HChina
USA
Last 2: 2W · 0L · sets 6:0 · 100%
3:0AItaly
3:0HBrazil

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated30.07.2026 13:01 UTC
1 43%
2 57% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: Over 181.5 Bet:Total ochkov bolshe 181.5
Claude updated30.07.2026 13:16 UTC
1 44%
2 56% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 (v polzu USA) Total points: Over 190.5 ochkov Bet:Over 190.5 ochkov
Qwen updated30.07.2026 13:10 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total points: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated30.07.2026 13:17 UTC
1 41%
2 59% ✓ favourite
Score... Total points: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated30.07.2026 13:18 UTC
1 42%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score1:3 Total points: Over 180.5 Bet:P2
Per AI data Form:5-0 / 3-2 H2H: JPN 2-1 USA Injuries:None Key:JPN momentum

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 43% 57% 1:3 Over 181.5 Total ochkov bolshe 181.5
Claude 44% 56% 1:3 (v polzu USA) Over 190.5 ochkov Over 190.5 ochkov
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 41% 59% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 42% 58% 1:3 Over 180.5 P2

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 11:25 UTC
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Japan 50%
📐 Math model USA 57%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Japan - USA

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Japan 42.3% 42.6%
USA 57.7% 57.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 42.6% / 57.4% probabilities
Rating 1,667 / 1,844 Japan / USA
RD 291 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,085-2,248 / 1,364-2,323 strength interval
HFA: 35 HFA mu: 0.201 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.63 Fonbet · no value · model 57.4%
1 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 42.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 148.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 176.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
— 2.20 45.5% —
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
— 2.25 44.4% —
— 2.45 40.8% —
— 2.55 39.2% —
— 1.60 62.5% —
— 1.90 52.6% —
— 1.57 63.7% —
— 1.50 66.7% —
— 1.45 69.0% —
1.95 51.3% — 1.85 54.1%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.17 46.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.21 45.3%
1.63 61.4% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
Over 148.5 — 1.33 75.2% —
Over 176.5 — 1.47 68.0% —
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 148.5 — 3.00 33.3% —
Under 176.5 — 2.50 40.0% —
Under 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Japan
W
29.07 11:25 UTC+0 Nations League
Japan 3:1 ChinaChina
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
USA
W W
30.07 06:55 UTC+0 Nations League
USA 3:0 ItalyItaly
17.07 00:55 UTC+0 Nations League
USA 3:0 BrazilBrazil
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJapan - USA

Japan
0 matches total
USA
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history