AI verdict

AI pick Spain B win probability ~54% best odds 2.70

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Spain B. Full breakdown below.

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Mediterranean Games. Italy
Mediterranean Games. Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Match in progress

Mediterranean Games. Italy

Spain B vs Turkey — Volleyball prediction

Volleyball
Spain B
Spain B
- : -
Match in progress
Turkey
Turkey

Spain B face Turkey in volleyball, in Mediterranean Games. Italy, on 28 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Spain B as the favourite at around 54%. The bookmaker consensus (2 books) implies about 54% for the same outcome.

Recent form reads: Spain B have 3 won and 2 lost of their last 5; Turkey have 3 won and 2 lost of 5. On the Glicko scale it is 1585 for Spain B against 1555 for Turkey - a gap of 30 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 30 Glicko rating points, the model's 54% for Spain B. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Spain B54%

1 · Spain B54.3%
2 · Turkey45.7%

Model estimate: win Spain B 54.3%, win Turkey 45.7%. Model favourite — Spain B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spain B - Turkey August 28, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Turkey. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 2 books · best price +17.7%
1 44.0%
2 56.1%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.75 ↓ 1.72
Winner P2 1.95 ↑ 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Spain B
54%
2.70
Turkey
46%
2.00
Total
Over 182.5
51%
1.83
Under 182.5
49%
2.10

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

6Wins8
1.6Sets on average2.4

Head-to-head matches: 14 · average total 4.0 (sets)

Team form

Spain B
3-7LWLWWLLLLL
sets for 1.2sets against 2.2
Turkey
3-7WLWLLLLLLW
sets for 2.0sets against 2.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Volleyball stats

Form by set

Spain B
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 10:6 · 60%
1:2AGreece
2:0AKosovo
2:0HEgypt
2:3ARomania
3:1HAzerbaijan
Turkey
Last 5: 3W · 2L · sets 8:8 · 60%
3:1HGreece
0:2HKosovo
2:1AEgypt
0:3ASlovenia
3:1HIran

Set scores in recent matches: green — win, red — loss. H — home, A — away. For reference.

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:1 · 59'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

Live pick Turkey 66%

Live win probability (market-implied) — how often it wins, not a profit forecast.

34% 66%
Spain B (1) Turkey (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 34.1% @ 2.70 / 2 65.9% @ 1.40
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Spain B 54%
💹 Market Turkey 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Spain B - Turkey

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Volleyball math model. The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Spain B 53.8% 54.3% market and model agree
Turkey 46.2% 45.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Volleyball math model
P1 / P2 54.3% / 45.7% probabilities
Rating 1,585 / 1,555 Spain B / Turkey
RD 186 / 116 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,213-1,956 / 1,323-1,787 strength interval

The volleyball model accounts for the winner, set score and points: 3:0 gives a stronger signal than 3:2. When data is available we separately look at serve, reception and market totals.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 45.7%
1 2.70 Fonbet · value +46.6% · model 54.3%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 174.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 176.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.07 48.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.05 48.8%
1.80 55.6%
2.03 49.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.70 37.0% 1.72 58.1%
1.40 71.4% 2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 174.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 176.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 178.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 179.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 180.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 182.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 183.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 184.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 185.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 186.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 187.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 188.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 189.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 190.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 191.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 192.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 193.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 194.5 2.52 39.7%
Match center
Spain B
L W W
24.08 13:00 UTC World: Sredizemnomorskie Games
Spain B 1:2 GreeceGreece
22.08 15:00 UTC World: Sredizemnomorskie Games
Spain B 2:0 Kosovo
20.08 13:00 UTC World: Sredizemnomorskie Games
Spain B 2:0 EgyptEgypt
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Turkey
W L W
27.08 17:55 UTC World: Sredizemnomorskie Games
Turkey 3:1 GreeceGreece
25.08 12:00 UTC World: Sredizemnomorskie Games
Turkey 0:2 Kosovo
24.08 16:00 UTC World: Sredizemnomorskie Games
Turkey 2:1 EgyptEgypt
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Spain B vs Turkey?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Turkey. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Spain B vs Turkey?

Live odds for Spain B vs Turkey from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Spain B vs Turkey start?

August 28, 2026.